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GST rate cut of over 200 items may lower CPI inflation by 20 bps: Nomura

Retail or CPI inflation rose to 7-month high of 3.58 per cent in October, driven up by costlier food items, particularly vegetables

Press Trust of India  |  Mumbai 

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Decision to lower (goods and services tax) rates on over 200 items could help pull down retail inflation by 20 basis points from the current levels driven by lower food and beverage prices, says a report. Retail or rose to 7-month high of 3.58 per cent in October, driven up by costlier food items, particularly vegetables. According to global financial services major Nomura, recent decision by the central government to lower tax rates for 213 items including 178 items of daily consumer use is likely to lower by about 20 basis points (0.2 per cent). "The government expects these (GST) measures to be disinflationary.

Our quantitative analysis suggests that if (a big if) the tax changes are fully passed on to consumers, they would lower by estimated 20 basis points," said. "This would be driven by lower food and beverage (chocolate, condensed milk and fish), household goods (detergent, sanitary ware and glassware) and personal care (shaving products, shampoos and cosmetics) prices," it added. During the 23rd (GST) council meeting, tax rates were lowered for 213 items. The largest changes were made in top 28 per cent tax bracket, where 178 (out of 228 items) were moved into the 18 per cent tax bracket. Tax rates on items ranging from chewing gum to chocolates to beauty products, wigs and wrist watches, were cut to provide relief to consumers and businesses amid economic slowdown. As many as 178 items of daily use were shifted from the top tax bracket of 28 per cent to 18 per cent, while a uniform 5 per cent tax was prescribed for all restaurants, both air- conditioned and non-AC. The new tax rates will be effective November 15.

First Published: Tue, November 14 2017. 17:19 IST