ALSO READI predicted last financial crisis, now soaring global debt levels pose a similar risk External debt reaches $496 bn at Sep-end India's external debt down 3% to $472 bn in FY17 Indians pile up debt in old age: Report Companies raise funds worth Rs 2.2 lakh cr via debt placement in Apr-Jul 18
Global debt rose to a record $233 trillion in the third quarter of 2017, more than $16 trillion higher from end-2016, according to an analysis by the Institute of International Finance. Private non-financial sector debt hit all-time highs in Canada, France, Hong Kong, South Korea, Switzerland and Turkey.
At the same time, though, the ratio of debt-to-gross domestic product fell for the fourth consecutive quarter as economic growth accelerated. The ratio is now around 318 per cent, 3 percentage points below a high set in the third quarter of 2016, according to the IIF.
“A combination of factors including synchronised above-potential global growth, rising inflation (China, Turkey), and efforts to prevent a destabilising build-up of debt (China, Canada) have all contributed to the decline,” IIF analysts wrote in a note.
The debt pile could end up acting as a brake on central banks trying to raise interest rates, given worries about the debt servicing capacity of highly indebted firms and government, the IIF analysts wrote.