You are here: Home » International » News » Markets
Business Standard

Oil prices flat in choppy trade, output cut signal

Opec seems to be encouraged by the contribution of non-Opec producers to the output cuts

Agencies 

Opec, Iran, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Oil, Import
A gas flare on an oil production platform in the Soroush oil fields is seen alongside an Iranian flag in the Persian Gulf, Iran. Photo Reuters

Leading Gulf exporters and Kuwait gave a clear signal on Thursday that plans to extend into the second half of the year a deal with non-member producers to curb supplies of crude.

prices were little changed on Thursday in a seesaw trading session, as investors weighed rising U.S. production against comments from leading Gulf producers that an extension to Opec-led supply cuts was likely.

Brent futures were up 15 cents to $53.08 a barrel were at 11:40 a.m. EDT (1540 GMT). U.S. crude futures were up 6 cents at $50.50 a barrel.

Consensus is growing among producers that a supply restraint pact that started in January should be prolonged after its initial six-month term, Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih said.

"There is consensus building but it's not done yet," Falih told reporters at a conference in the United Arab Emirates.

Kuwait's minister Essam al-Marzouq said he expected the agreement to be extended.

"is on board preliminarily ... Compliance from is very good," Marzouq said. Secretary-General Mohammed Barkindo, noting that Marzouq chairs a committee that measures compliance with the cuts, said: "It is significant that the Kuwaiti minister has come out in public and said this."

is keen that non-member producers play their promised part in supporting the group's efforts to lift prices, which have recovered to $53 a barrel from lows last year below $30.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and non-meet on May 25 to discuss extending the curbs that total 1.8 million barrels daily, two-thirds of that from the

sources said an internal assessment was that if they failed to extend the agreement, could slide back to $30-$40 a barrel.

Falih said his main concern was to reduce global inventories, calling that "the main indicator for the success of the initiative".

While inventories held at sea and in producer countries have dropped, they remain stubbornly high in consumer regions, particularly in Asia and the United States.

The Energy Agency said last week that inventories in industrialised countries were still 10 percent above the five-year average, a key gauge for

seems to be encouraged by the contribution of non-producers to the output cuts.

Marzouq said there was a "noticeable increase in compliance from non-Opec". Joint compliance among and non-in March was above 90 percent, he said.

has not yet publicly committed to prolonging its curbs, although Energy Minister Alexander Novak said this month that Moscow would start consultations with producing companies about the possibility of doing so.

Marzouq said another African nation, which he did not identify, had expressed interest in joining the 24-country effort.

One hold-out for an extended deal may be Iraq. Baghdad might seek to be exempt and ask to boost its own output, the leader of the nation's Shi'ite ruling coalition, Ammar al-Hakim, told Reuters.

Speaking in Cairo, Hakim cautioned that Baghdad could ask to be exempted from taking part in the supply curbs as the member country needed its income to fight Islamic State.

"Given these sensitive circumstances, it is the right of Iraq to hope for an exemption by the other member states and have an opportunity to increase its production," Hakim, an influential cleric, said in an interview late on Wednesday.

"But we are with the principle of reducing the overall supply to lift prices."

does not look likely to become an obstacle. The current deal granted Tehran permission to lift output, hit by Western sanctions that ended just over a year ago.

"is not an issue. We know they can't raise their production much more," an source said.

RECOMMENDED FOR YOU

Oil prices flat in choppy trade, output cut signal

Opec seems to be encouraged by the contribution of non-Opec producers to the output cuts

Opec seems to be encouraged by the contribution of non-Opec producers to the output cuts
Leading Gulf exporters and Kuwait gave a clear signal on Thursday that plans to extend into the second half of the year a deal with non-member producers to curb supplies of crude.

prices were little changed on Thursday in a seesaw trading session, as investors weighed rising U.S. production against comments from leading Gulf producers that an extension to Opec-led supply cuts was likely.

Brent futures were up 15 cents to $53.08 a barrel were at 11:40 a.m. EDT (1540 GMT). U.S. crude futures were up 6 cents at $50.50 a barrel.

Consensus is growing among producers that a supply restraint pact that started in January should be prolonged after its initial six-month term, Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih said.

"There is consensus building but it's not done yet," Falih told reporters at a conference in the United Arab Emirates.

Kuwait's minister Essam al-Marzouq said he expected the agreement to be extended.

"is on board preliminarily ... Compliance from is very good," Marzouq said. Secretary-General Mohammed Barkindo, noting that Marzouq chairs a committee that measures compliance with the cuts, said: "It is significant that the Kuwaiti minister has come out in public and said this."

is keen that non-member producers play their promised part in supporting the group's efforts to lift prices, which have recovered to $53 a barrel from lows last year below $30.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and non-meet on May 25 to discuss extending the curbs that total 1.8 million barrels daily, two-thirds of that from the

sources said an internal assessment was that if they failed to extend the agreement, could slide back to $30-$40 a barrel.

Falih said his main concern was to reduce global inventories, calling that "the main indicator for the success of the initiative".

While inventories held at sea and in producer countries have dropped, they remain stubbornly high in consumer regions, particularly in Asia and the United States.

The Energy Agency said last week that inventories in industrialised countries were still 10 percent above the five-year average, a key gauge for

seems to be encouraged by the contribution of non-producers to the output cuts.

Marzouq said there was a "noticeable increase in compliance from non-Opec". Joint compliance among and non-in March was above 90 percent, he said.

has not yet publicly committed to prolonging its curbs, although Energy Minister Alexander Novak said this month that Moscow would start consultations with producing companies about the possibility of doing so.

Marzouq said another African nation, which he did not identify, had expressed interest in joining the 24-country effort.

One hold-out for an extended deal may be Iraq. Baghdad might seek to be exempt and ask to boost its own output, the leader of the nation's Shi'ite ruling coalition, Ammar al-Hakim, told Reuters.

Speaking in Cairo, Hakim cautioned that Baghdad could ask to be exempted from taking part in the supply curbs as the member country needed its income to fight Islamic State.

"Given these sensitive circumstances, it is the right of Iraq to hope for an exemption by the other member states and have an opportunity to increase its production," Hakim, an influential cleric, said in an interview late on Wednesday.

"But we are with the principle of reducing the overall supply to lift prices."

does not look likely to become an obstacle. The current deal granted Tehran permission to lift output, hit by Western sanctions that ended just over a year ago.

"is not an issue. We know they can't raise their production much more," an source said.
image
Business Standard
177 22

Oil prices flat in choppy trade, output cut signal

Opec seems to be encouraged by the contribution of non-Opec producers to the output cuts

Leading Gulf exporters and Kuwait gave a clear signal on Thursday that plans to extend into the second half of the year a deal with non-member producers to curb supplies of crude.

prices were little changed on Thursday in a seesaw trading session, as investors weighed rising U.S. production against comments from leading Gulf producers that an extension to Opec-led supply cuts was likely.

Brent futures were up 15 cents to $53.08 a barrel were at 11:40 a.m. EDT (1540 GMT). U.S. crude futures were up 6 cents at $50.50 a barrel.

Consensus is growing among producers that a supply restraint pact that started in January should be prolonged after its initial six-month term, Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih said.

"There is consensus building but it's not done yet," Falih told reporters at a conference in the United Arab Emirates.

Kuwait's minister Essam al-Marzouq said he expected the agreement to be extended.

"is on board preliminarily ... Compliance from is very good," Marzouq said. Secretary-General Mohammed Barkindo, noting that Marzouq chairs a committee that measures compliance with the cuts, said: "It is significant that the Kuwaiti minister has come out in public and said this."

is keen that non-member producers play their promised part in supporting the group's efforts to lift prices, which have recovered to $53 a barrel from lows last year below $30.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and non-meet on May 25 to discuss extending the curbs that total 1.8 million barrels daily, two-thirds of that from the

sources said an internal assessment was that if they failed to extend the agreement, could slide back to $30-$40 a barrel.

Falih said his main concern was to reduce global inventories, calling that "the main indicator for the success of the initiative".

While inventories held at sea and in producer countries have dropped, they remain stubbornly high in consumer regions, particularly in Asia and the United States.

The Energy Agency said last week that inventories in industrialised countries were still 10 percent above the five-year average, a key gauge for

seems to be encouraged by the contribution of non-producers to the output cuts.

Marzouq said there was a "noticeable increase in compliance from non-Opec". Joint compliance among and non-in March was above 90 percent, he said.

has not yet publicly committed to prolonging its curbs, although Energy Minister Alexander Novak said this month that Moscow would start consultations with producing companies about the possibility of doing so.

Marzouq said another African nation, which he did not identify, had expressed interest in joining the 24-country effort.

One hold-out for an extended deal may be Iraq. Baghdad might seek to be exempt and ask to boost its own output, the leader of the nation's Shi'ite ruling coalition, Ammar al-Hakim, told Reuters.

Speaking in Cairo, Hakim cautioned that Baghdad could ask to be exempted from taking part in the supply curbs as the member country needed its income to fight Islamic State.

"Given these sensitive circumstances, it is the right of Iraq to hope for an exemption by the other member states and have an opportunity to increase its production," Hakim, an influential cleric, said in an interview late on Wednesday.

"But we are with the principle of reducing the overall supply to lift prices."

does not look likely to become an obstacle. The current deal granted Tehran permission to lift output, hit by Western sanctions that ended just over a year ago.

"is not an issue. We know they can't raise their production much more," an source said.

image
Business Standard
177 22