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Equity mutual funds drop in March, outlook hazy

Outlook for shares remains clouded by uncertainties about growth and lingering concerns about inflation

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Diversified equity funds fell in March, but less than the Sensex, as their exposure to mid-cap and defensive sectors helped cushion a selloff triggered by a disappointing budget and moves to tax foreign fund investments.

The outlook for shares in India remains clouded by uncertainties about growth and lingering concerns about inflation, which could again help funds that invest in companies that make soaps, toothpastes and detergents or healthcare firms outperform the broader market.

Diversified funds, which form the largest category of equity funds by number and assets, dropped 0.8% on average in March to register their first monthly fall in 2012, data from fund tracker Lipper, a Thomson Reuters company, showed.

In comparison, the BSE Sensex fell 2% during the month, as the pace of slowed $1.47 billion from $7.5 billion that came in over the first two months of 2012.

"The outlook is cautious," said RK Gupta, managing director of Taurus Mutual Fund, adding an increase in service tax and excise duty would raise costs and pinch demand.

Foreign fund investments would also be restrained.

The finance minister said last week the government would look into the possible tax liability of foreign institutional investors, raising the prospect that brokerages and other financial firms with registered licences in India could be liable to pay taxes.

India's annual budget around mid-March avoided bold reforms and outlined proposals that would allow authorities to make retroactive tax claims on overseas deals, such as Vodafone Group's 2007 acquisition of mobile phone assets in India.

International trade groups representing more than 250,000 companies have written to Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, warning that the new tax proposals have led foreign businesses to reconsider their investments.

The uncertainties have dented investor sentiment.

"The most liquid stocks are sold first to minimise impact cost," said Nilesh Shetty, associate fund manager at Quantum Asset Management Company, explaining the bigger drop in the Sensex.

The BSE mid-cap index, which eased 0.63% in March, helped mutual funds limit their fall, as such stocks accounted for 20.3% of overall assets at the end of February, Morningstar India data showed.

Bets on fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) and healthcare companies also helped limit the damage to unit values of funds, as the two sectors collectively accounted for 13.4% of the assets.

The healthcare index rose 4.6% in March, while the BSE FMCG index was among the best performing sectors with gains of 7.8%.

Shares in ITC, the largest cigarette maker in India, jumped 9.2% in March, while leading consumer goods maker Hindustan Unilever rallied 7.8%.

FMCG funds were among top performers, with the ICICI Prudential FMCG Fund rising 8% and the SBI Magnum Sector Funds Umbrella - FMCG gaining 7.3%.

Exposure to cash at Feb-end stood at 4.71%, the lowest level in nearly two years, but a likely increase in cash exposure in March could have also helped minimise the fall in unit values.

"It is likely that cash levels may have gone up a bit in March portfolios, with the market volatility increasing lately," said Dhruva Raj Chatterji, senior research analyst, Morningstar India.

Among other schemes, fixed income funds that invest in government securities fell 0.31% in the month, while gold exchange traded funds (ETFs) dropped 1.2% on average.

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