Business Standard

Aam Aadmi Party surveys predict clean sweep in Delhi

The party has conducted three surveys so far - in February, August and September

Related News

Citing the findings of three surveys, the (AAP) on Wednesday claimed it was set to sweep the scheduled for November.

The party has conducted three surveys so far - in February, August and September. These were conducted by Sisro Associates, a private agency, with technical assistance from AAP leader and election analyst Yogendra Yadav. The third survey, still underway, has a sample of 35,000 people. Findings from 22 constituencies covering about 10,000 people show the AAP's vote share is 32 per cent; those of the Congress and the Bharatiya Janata Party stand at 24 per cent and 23 per cent, respectively.

For the AAP, this marks a rise from the 27 per cent vote share it recorded in the survey in August (3,500 people). The survey in August showed BJP had a vote share of 31 per cent and the Congress 26 per cent.

In the February survey, AAP had secured a vote share of 14 per cent, while the Congress and the BJP had recorded 35 per cent each.

Yadav said any party that had a six per cent lead over the second party was sure to get absolute majority.

To ensure transparency, the AAP has put all the raw survey data in the public domain. "No one would believe when we say a new party like AAP is sweeping elections. So, we thought the best thing to do was to release the entire survey data, including the interviews with each unit," Yadav said.

Of those surveyed, 41 per cent, both in the August and the ongoing survey, said they would choose AAP chief Arvind Kejriwal for the post of chief minister, against the BJP's Vijay Goel and Sheila Dikshit of the Congress. While 14 per cent supported Vijay Goel in August, the number rose to 20 per cent in the current survey. For Dikshit, the support rose from 20 per cent to 25 per cent.

AAP leaders admitted there was a gap between AAP's vote share (32 per cent) and the number of those who wanted Kejriwal as chief minister (41 per cent). "Our challenge is to convert this support to votes so that the vote share also goes up to the same level," Yadav said.

Commenting on the findings of the survey, Kejriwal said the underlying sentiment behind the sympathy for AAP was the disgust among the masses towards the political class. "For the first time, people feel there is an alternative," he said.

Yadav said earlier, this sort of reception for a new party had only been seen in the case of the Asom Gana Parishad and the Telugu Desam Party.

On the New Delhi constituency from which Kejriwal would contest against Sheila Dikshit, AAP leaders said the survey showed the same trends there, too. Kejriwal said the constituency had 30,000 families, adding 12,000 of the 23,600 accessed so far had given donations to the AAP, indicating their votes were assured. He added in the last election, Sheila Dikshit had won the seat by only 35,000 votes.

He ruled out any coalition in the event of a hung Assembly, saying that would amount to betraying the people's trust.

Read more on:   
|

Read More

BJP may drop anti-FDI stand for e-commerce

Party's formal view only after policy; No retrospective amendment

Columnists Rss icon

Mihir S Sharma

Mihir S Sharma: Why Congress must sack Rahul Gandhi
Mihir S Sharma

Government's reforms are too half-hearted - but Rahul Gandhi's Congress is too amateurish and inept to hold it to account

Andrew Ross Sorkin

Andrew Ross Sorkin: The truth hidden by IBM's buybacks
Andrew Ross Sorkin

The company's success in recent years has been tied more to financial engineering than actual performance

Editorial Comment Rss icon

Half-baked energy reforms

Reform for LPG, but coal order ignores need for regulation

Banks or farmers?

Worrying implications of a judgment on sugar

TWEETS @ POLITICS
@SinghRPN
Congratulations to Indian child rights activist Kailash Satyarthi and Pakistan's Malala for the Nobel Peace prize. A huge honour
@milinddeora
Eureka! “@BuzzFeedDIY: You’ve Been Pouring Juice All Wrong http://t.co/QVlOeTgKet http://t.co/Uu6hkv9Na3
@digvijaya_28
@battoleybaz वित्त मंत्री जेटली और नाम मैं बताउँ ?अगर उनके पास प्रमाण हैं तो क्या वे जानकारी छिपा सकते हैं ?केवल भ्रम पैदा करना लक्ष्य है।
@thekiranbedi
RT @RannvijaySingha: Ma'am @thekiranbedi Wow!You did it!We announce Rs.10 donation towards nature conservation for each pic uploaded with #…
@ajaymaken
"BJP had mislead the Nation on Black Money. Unfortunately still continues to do again." http://t.co/g17zCz0lit via @readability
@MPNaveenJindal
RT @ShekharGupta: My 2007 #walkthetalk with Benjamin Bradlee playing again on NDTV 24x7 at 530 pm today.
@Panda_Jay
My Twitter handle changed yesterday to @PandaJay 😊, please follow that..
@ShashiTharoor
@chandan_chauhan @anilkapurk i have always been my own kutta, both in ghar & ghat. Barked for 14 books. Look out for the 15th in January.
@Swamy39
@whodunnito : You mind?
@narendramodi
Many friends are sending Diwali wishes. My thanks to them. Do visit this specially created page http://t.co/wXTAoaspIG
@abdullah_omar
Thanks for the nomination @BeingSalmanKhan. Watch this space for my contribution & the names of the 9 I will have to nominate.
@varungandhi80
RT @IshitaYadav: Need AB- FFP blood VERY urgently at Safdarjung Hospital, Delhi. Please contact +91 99-53-456676 in case you're willing to …
@ArvindKejriwal
Sources say BJP will make last attempt to "buy" MLAs n form govt in del. Strange?BJP so scared of elctions in Del even after Maha n Haryana?
@PMOIndia
RT @MIB_India: दीपावली के अवसर पर प्रधानमंत्री श्री @narendramodi की वेबसाइट http://t.co/Scq7d53wco से खास ई-ग्रीटिेग्स भेजें http://t.co/9
@rajeev_mp
Auctioning Coal Blocks is best way 2 create benefit 2 people & Govt! Good move by @narendramodi Govt #TransformIndia http://t.co/1Mdcd2KGok
@quizderek
@glynislamb gong well :)
@
#ShivSena divided over supporting a #BJP-led govt in Maharashtra http://t.co/Qdsyh0a2nU
@SushmaSwaraj
करवा चौथ की शुभ कामनायें I Good wishes on Karva Chauth.
@arunjaitley
May goddess lakshmi bless you with happiness and prosperity on this auspicious day. Wish you all a very Happy Dhanteras.
@MVENKAIAHNAIDU
This Deepavali I will be with people of Vishakapatnam and Vizianagaram on 22nd and 23rd November who are facing hardships after HudHud.
@nitin_gadkari
Held the review meeting with the Lt.Governor of Delhi Najeeb Jung regarding registration of E-rickshaw http://t.co/bTYqUiaagU
@DVSBJP
Heartly Warm wishes to our party National president Sri Amit Shah Ji @AmitShahoffice on his Birthday . http://t.co/qnGMLZP0rT
@umasribharti
चन्‍द्रशेखर राव को बधाई. तेलंगाना राज्‍य का मेरा संकल्‍प एवं सपना पूरा, तेलंगाना की नदियों का ध्‍यान रखेंगें.
@AnanthKumar_BJP
RT @PIB_India: Min. Shri @AnanthKumar_BJP opens 89 branches in South India, at 89th Foundation Day celeb. of Syndicate Bank. http://t.co/Kc
@smritiirani
RT @narendramodi: 'Why Clean India' picture. http://t.co/r4PtsxqbZC
@drharshvardhan
RT @MoHFW_INDIA: @drharshvardhan presents his book 'A Tale of Two Drops' to Health Minister, Maldives Col (Retd) Mohamed Nazim. http://t.co
@Gen_VKSingh
Happy Dhanteras!! http://t.co/y0TqCKLvCr
@Rao_InderjitS
Wishing you all a very happy Dhanteras!
@nsitharaman
@HariharanHssiva Thank you and wishing you similarly.
@RSSorg
Let Deevaali illuminate our path to purity, discipline n dutifulness in our individual n national life in the light of Hinduness -Dr Bhagwat

Back to Top