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Gold pares gains after strong U.S. jobless data

Reuters  |  LONDON 

By Eric Onstad

(Reuters) - Gold prices pared modest gains on Thursday after strong U.S. jobless data boosted the likelihood of an rise before the end of the year.

Data showed the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits held at a 43-year low last week, pointing to sustained labour market strength that could pave the way for the Federal Reserve to hike rates in December.

"Some people are a bit nervous, so I think the strategy now is that if you see uptick in gold prices you will sell," said ABN AMRO commodity strategist Georgette Boele.

Spot gold was up 0.17 percent at $1,256.90 an ounce at 1302 GMT, off an intraday high of $1,261.78, while U.S. gold futures climbed 0.4 percent to $1,258.90 an ounce.

Gold has risen nearly a fifth this year but has struggled in recent months. It has shed 7 percent since early September, including a slide of over $40 on Oct. 4, its biggest one-day drop in 15 months, after strong U.S. economic data.

If bullish investors who are dominating the market at the moment started to sell it could create a snowball effect and U.S. retail sales data due on Friday could be a trigger, Boele added.

"There's a position risk with overall positions massively long, enormous, and people may ... give up on the idea that the price could go higher."

Boele downgraded her gold forecast on Wednesday to negative, saying in a note that the year's upwards trend was over and she forecast a year-end gold price of $1,200.

A drop of gold and silver prices below their 200-day moving averages was also a negative technical signal, she said.

Since gold pays no interest, the metal is highly sensitive to increases in U.S. interest rates, which would also typically strengthen the dollar in which gold is priced.

Gold got some support on Thursday after world stock markets stumbled to three-week lows following September trade data from China that showed a sharp decline in exports, reviving concerns about the health of the world's second-biggest economy.

China's September exports dropped 10 percent from a year earlier, far more than markets had expected, while imports unexpectedly shrank 1.9 percent after an encouraging 1.5 percent rise in August.

"There is a lot of buying on the physical side in Asia, mainly from China and buying from exchange-traded funds after recent dips," said a metals trader with a bank based in China.

Among other metals, silver rose 0.2 percent to $17.48 an ounce, while platinum fell 0.7 percent to $935.49 an ounce.

Palladium was down 1.4 percent at $640 an ounce after earlier touching a low of $635.72, its weakest since July 18.

(Additional reporting by Swati Verma and Nallur Sethuraman in Bengaluru; editing by David Clarke and Alexandra Hudson)

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

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Gold pares gains after strong U.S. jobless data

LONDON (Reuters) - Gold prices pared modest gains on Thursday after strong U.S. jobless data boosted the likelihood of an interest rate rise before the end of the year.

By Eric Onstad

(Reuters) - Gold prices pared modest gains on Thursday after strong U.S. jobless data boosted the likelihood of an rise before the end of the year.

Data showed the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits held at a 43-year low last week, pointing to sustained labour market strength that could pave the way for the Federal Reserve to hike rates in December.

"Some people are a bit nervous, so I think the strategy now is that if you see uptick in gold prices you will sell," said ABN AMRO commodity strategist Georgette Boele.

Spot gold was up 0.17 percent at $1,256.90 an ounce at 1302 GMT, off an intraday high of $1,261.78, while U.S. gold futures climbed 0.4 percent to $1,258.90 an ounce.

Gold has risen nearly a fifth this year but has struggled in recent months. It has shed 7 percent since early September, including a slide of over $40 on Oct. 4, its biggest one-day drop in 15 months, after strong U.S. economic data.

If bullish investors who are dominating the market at the moment started to sell it could create a snowball effect and U.S. retail sales data due on Friday could be a trigger, Boele added.

"There's a position risk with overall positions massively long, enormous, and people may ... give up on the idea that the price could go higher."

Boele downgraded her gold forecast on Wednesday to negative, saying in a note that the year's upwards trend was over and she forecast a year-end gold price of $1,200.

A drop of gold and silver prices below their 200-day moving averages was also a negative technical signal, she said.

Since gold pays no interest, the metal is highly sensitive to increases in U.S. interest rates, which would also typically strengthen the dollar in which gold is priced.

Gold got some support on Thursday after world stock markets stumbled to three-week lows following September trade data from China that showed a sharp decline in exports, reviving concerns about the health of the world's second-biggest economy.

China's September exports dropped 10 percent from a year earlier, far more than markets had expected, while imports unexpectedly shrank 1.9 percent after an encouraging 1.5 percent rise in August.

"There is a lot of buying on the physical side in Asia, mainly from China and buying from exchange-traded funds after recent dips," said a metals trader with a bank based in China.

Among other metals, silver rose 0.2 percent to $17.48 an ounce, while platinum fell 0.7 percent to $935.49 an ounce.

Palladium was down 1.4 percent at $640 an ounce after earlier touching a low of $635.72, its weakest since July 18.

(Additional reporting by Swati Verma and Nallur Sethuraman in Bengaluru; editing by David Clarke and Alexandra Hudson)

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

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Business Standard
177 22

Gold pares gains after strong U.S. jobless data

By Eric Onstad

(Reuters) - Gold prices pared modest gains on Thursday after strong U.S. jobless data boosted the likelihood of an rise before the end of the year.

Data showed the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits held at a 43-year low last week, pointing to sustained labour market strength that could pave the way for the Federal Reserve to hike rates in December.

"Some people are a bit nervous, so I think the strategy now is that if you see uptick in gold prices you will sell," said ABN AMRO commodity strategist Georgette Boele.

Spot gold was up 0.17 percent at $1,256.90 an ounce at 1302 GMT, off an intraday high of $1,261.78, while U.S. gold futures climbed 0.4 percent to $1,258.90 an ounce.

Gold has risen nearly a fifth this year but has struggled in recent months. It has shed 7 percent since early September, including a slide of over $40 on Oct. 4, its biggest one-day drop in 15 months, after strong U.S. economic data.

If bullish investors who are dominating the market at the moment started to sell it could create a snowball effect and U.S. retail sales data due on Friday could be a trigger, Boele added.

"There's a position risk with overall positions massively long, enormous, and people may ... give up on the idea that the price could go higher."

Boele downgraded her gold forecast on Wednesday to negative, saying in a note that the year's upwards trend was over and she forecast a year-end gold price of $1,200.

A drop of gold and silver prices below their 200-day moving averages was also a negative technical signal, she said.

Since gold pays no interest, the metal is highly sensitive to increases in U.S. interest rates, which would also typically strengthen the dollar in which gold is priced.

Gold got some support on Thursday after world stock markets stumbled to three-week lows following September trade data from China that showed a sharp decline in exports, reviving concerns about the health of the world's second-biggest economy.

China's September exports dropped 10 percent from a year earlier, far more than markets had expected, while imports unexpectedly shrank 1.9 percent after an encouraging 1.5 percent rise in August.

"There is a lot of buying on the physical side in Asia, mainly from China and buying from exchange-traded funds after recent dips," said a metals trader with a bank based in China.

Among other metals, silver rose 0.2 percent to $17.48 an ounce, while platinum fell 0.7 percent to $935.49 an ounce.

Palladium was down 1.4 percent at $640 an ounce after earlier touching a low of $635.72, its weakest since July 18.

(Additional reporting by Swati Verma and Nallur Sethuraman in Bengaluru; editing by David Clarke and Alexandra Hudson)

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

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