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Oil retreats from $70 highs but set for fourth week of gains

Reuters  |  NEW YORK 

By David Gaffen

(Reuters) - prices edged lower on Friday after hitting a three-year high the previous day, but the benchmarks remained on track for a fourth straight week of gains.

A drawdown in U.S. inventories and a pullback in production, combined with steady demand and the extension of OPEC's supply cut agreement, has bolstered the for several weeks, helping push Brent crude through $70 a barrel for the first time since December 2014.

Russia's said - part of the agreement with the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries to reduce supply - should start to exit the pact if crude prices remain at $70 a barrel for more than six months.

Brent crude futures traded 13 cents lower at $69.13 a barrel by 11:27 a.m. EST (1627 GMT). U.S. West Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell 14 cents to $63.66. WTI hit its strongest since late 2014 at $64.77 on Thursday.

For the week, Brent was set for a 2.3 percent gain while WTI was on track for a 3.5 percent rise.

"If you look at any kind of momentum indicator this is telling you this is way overbought," said Robert Yawger, director of at Mizuho in "However, there are definitely issues supporting the market."

Major producing-countries have grown concerned that as prices remain near these levels, it will spur additional production from U.S. shale patches in and North Dakota, risking overwhelming the market with additional supply, and hurting OPEC's market share.

Fatih Birol, of the Paris-based International Energy Agency, said prices at $65 to $70 risked encouraging more oversupply from U.S. shale drillers.

The U.S. rig count, an early indicator of future output, rose more than 40 percent last year, according to data. Drillers, however, cut five rigs last week despite higher prices. data for this week is due at 1 p.m. EST.

U.S. crude production fell in the most recent week by nearly 300,000 barrels per day to about 9.5 million bpd, which analysts attributed to the deep freeze across most of the country.

The expects production will blow through 10 million bpd in the next few months, en route to 11 million bpd by next year, rivaling and

Gulf OPEC producers plan to keep their output in the current quarter below the year-earlier level despite strong demand growth and a drop in inventories, a senior OPEC source familiar with Gulf thinking said.

The OPEC/agreement to cut 1.8 million bpd is due to last until the end of 2018. prices have found support from eight consecutive weeks of U.S. crude inventory drops.

U.S. commercial crude stocks fell to 419.5 million barrels in the week to Jan. 5, right near the five-year average, the target for OPEC and others cutting output.

Futures contracts show an expectation for prices to pull back by year end, with the December U.S. crude futures contract currently trading just above $60 a barrel.

Later-dated futures trading lower than the spot price is known as backwardation, and is expected to inhibit production because it implies a lower price for future barrels sold.

(Additional reporting by in London and Henning Gloystein in Singapore; Editing by and Edmund Blair)

(Only the headline and picture of this report may have been reworked by the Business Standard staff; the rest of the content is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Fri, January 12 2018. 22:23 IST