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U.S. crude hits three-year high as prices climb in tight market

Reuters  |  NEW YORK 

By Devika Kumar

NEW YORK (Reuters) - prices edged higher on Tuesday, with U. S. crude touching its highest since December 2014, supported by OPEC-led production cuts and expectations that U. S. crude inventories have dropped for an eighth week in a row.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including are keeping supply limits in place in 2018, a second year of restraint, to reduce a price-denting glut of held in inventories.

U. S. Intermediate (WTI) crude rose $1.23, or 2 percent, to settle at $62.96 a barrel after touching its highest since December 2014 at $63.24.

Brent crude ended the session up $1.04, or 1.5 percent, at $68.82 per barrel after hitting a session high of $69.08, its highest since May 2015. Both contracts had their strongest close since December 2014.

Prices extended gains in post-settlement trade after industry group the said crude inventories fell by 11.2 million barrels in the week to Jan. 5 to 416.6 million, compared with analysts' expectations for a decrease of 3.9 million barrels. [API/S]

If confirmed by data at 10:30 a.m. EST (1530 GMT) on Wednesday, the draw will be the largest since Sept. 2, 2016. U. S. stockpiles fell by 14.5 million barrels during that week.

"You're so long this market at this point, you could certainly get more interest at these levels," said Rob Haworth, at

"This is a little more confirmation of what speculators have been looking for and after tomorrow's (inventory) report, we'll see if they look to do some profit-taking."

OPEC is cutting output by even more than it promised and the restraint is reducing stocks globally, a trend most visible in the United States, the world's largest and most transparent market. [OPEC/O]

"We expect demand growth to outpace non-OPEC supply growth in both 2018 and 2019," analysts said in a note.

"In our view, the back of the Brent and WTI curves are both still underpriced. We do not think that prices below $65 per barrel are sustainable into the medium term."

Many producers, still suffering from a 2014 price collapse, are enjoying the rally, although they are wary it will spur rival supply sources. said OPEC members were not keen on increased prices.

The rise in prices is expected to drive gains in U. S. production during 2018, offsetting curbs by others.

U. S. crude production is expected to surpass 10 million barrels per day (bpd) next month, en route to an all-time record months ahead of previous forecasts, the said Tuesday.

Production was expected to rise to an average 10.04 million bpd during the first quarter of this year.

Some analysts have said the rise in U. S. shale production could discourage OPEC and to maintain their deal to curb supply until the end of the year for fears of losing market share.

"I am now on the lookout for bearish technical patterns to emerge on prices as I believe they will struggle to go north of $65-$75 per barrel given the above fundamental consideration," said Fawad Razaqzada, for

"If WTI were to go back below the 2017 high of $60.48, which was hit late in the year, and the 2018's opening price of $60.09, then the technical outlook would turn bearish on But for now, the bullish trend remains intact as prices remain above key supports."

(Additional reporting by in London, Henning Gloystein in Singapore; editing by and Diane Craft)

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Wed, January 10 2018. 06:56 IST
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