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Boom-time expansion leaves Aban with Rs 13k-crore debt
Abhineet Kumar / Mumbai Feb 18, 2009, 00:00 IST

Swift expansion, while the oil prices were surging, has saddled India’s largest oil drilling firm, Aban offshore, with a huge debt during the downturn.

The Chennai-based firm has Rs 13,000 crore debt on its books and a market cap of only Rs 1,645 crore, down 90 per cent from its peak on May 23 last year. The huge debt is a result of the company, earlier known as Aban Lloyd, buying a 33.7 per cent stake in Sinvest ASA, a Norwegian drilling company, for Rs 5,200 crore (at the then exchange rate of Rs 40 to a dollar).

 
The acquisition gave Aban access to eight premium jack-up rigs with contracts, but it also increased its debt substantially.

“The timing of the acquisition has backfired as they are caught at the wrong end of the cycle,” said Saeed Jaffery, analyst with Mumbai-based brokerage Ambit Capital.Aban did not respond to a detailed e-mail.
 

FACT-SHEET
* Debt: Rs 13,000 crore
* Market cap: Rs 1,645 crore
* Purchased 33.7% in a Norwegian drilling company for Rs 5,200 crore
* Softening oil prices have made exploration at high cost unviable
* The Chennai-based firm’s market cap of Rs 1,645 crore has declined 90 per cent from its peak on May 23, 2008
* The swollen debt is a result of Aban Offshore, earlier known as Aban Lloyd, buying a 33.7 per cent stake in a Norwegian drilling company, Sinvest ASA, for Rs 5,200 crore
* The aggressive acquisition also increased its debt substantially
* Aban has only one Indian competitor in this area of business, Jindal Drilling, but that company operates on a much smaller scale, with four hired rigs

The firm, which began as a comparatively small firm that built pipelines for oil refineries and fertiliser plants, grew to its present size with a series of expansion plans.

The company was begun by late M A Abraham, a former engineer with Saipem, the oil services group. Besides the businesses mentioned, he had also latched on to offshore drilling services, catering to state-owned Oil and Natural Gas Commission. His son, Reji Abraham, 42, the present chief, was listed number 605 on the Forbes’ billionaire list in 2008.

Reji had acquired the Norwegian company to cash in on the rising crude oil prices. High debt is not a problem in this business as long as there are enough service contracts to recover the money, say analysts.

The company has contracts of about Rs 14,000 crore. But these may be affected as the prices of crude oil have crashed to near $35 levels. The price for the benchmark Brent crude fell from an all-time high of $145.66 a barrel on July 3 last year to $40 now.

This softening of oil prices have made exploration at high costs unviable, with the result that the company failed to secure contracts for four of its 21 drilling assets (20 rigs and one floating production unit).

Ajit Motwani, an analyst with Mumbai-based brokerage Emkay Share, said the repayment of debt could be an issue if more rigs (two of the 20 are hired and the rest Aban’s own) are unable to get contracts. That is possible, with contracts for five more rigs getting over in the next six months.

According to industry estimates, exploration and production are likely to decline globally by 12 per cent, to $400 billion in 2009 from $454 billion in 2008. This would lead to lower day rates for jack-up rigs (16 of Aban’s 20 are of this type), as oil producers renegotiate the rate with service providers.

J M Financial, a Mumbai-based brokerage, has estimated an addition of over 100 new offshore drilling assets across the world over the next three years, with day rates expected to decline by 50-60 per cent. Jack up rigs are currently earning average daily rates of $1,50,000-1,60,000.

For Aban, the day rates for its rigs could decline to $107,000 by 2010-11, estimates the brokerage. Aban has only one Indian competitor in this area of business, Jindal Drilling, but the latter operates on a much smaller scale, with four hired rigs. Jindal has a Rs 40 crore debt, less than a seventh of its net worth of Rs 257 crore at the end of the December quarter.

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Latest Messages
Posted by: akki
hey hi all i am a short term trader andi am holding 100 shares of aban offshore @ the price of 765 would this price ever reach and what are the future prospects of the company i can hold for another 3 months i am holding this stock for the pat 4 months please advice would i will be able to gain some returns or have to book loss and at what levels can in touch on the down side thanks akki [www.jovinail.tk] (best social networking website)
    Posted by: vijay
Dear friend, I guess you are stuck at a very steep price which seems to be unattainable unless crude crosses 75 dollars.Short term trends are negative going down to 250-270 levels thanks to debt burden.But the saving grace could be the rapid turnaround due to the following; winning of new contracts for the 4 idle jack up rigs/ extension of current contracts in order to ensure liquidity/ crude rises due to increasing demand from the US/ or a war in any of the continents.Dont average at this rate but wait for sub300 levels.Hold on if not in need of cash.will get your money back in a two year time frame.Regards and best of luck
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