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Reliance stocks outperform markets after Ambani pact
Palak Shah / Mumbai Jun 15, 2010, 00:30 IST

The stocks have a weight of 16.36 per cent in the Sensex.

Mukesh AmbaniAfter underperforming the broader markets for over a year, the share prices of Reliance group companies led by both Mukesh and Anil Ambani have outperformed the key equity index, the Sensex, of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE).

The spurt in Reliance stocks has been only after May 23, when the brothers announced scrapping of the non-compete agreement made during the family settlement of 2005.

While the Sensex has gained 893 points, or over 5.4 per cent, from its recent low of 16,445, its most weighted scrip, Reliance Industries Ltd (RIL), has gained 6.7 per cent. Reliance Communication has been up 33.1 per cent and Reliance Infrastructure 16.8 per cent since May 23. These three contributed close to 18 per cent in the rise of Sensex from its recent low.

UNITED WE STAND
  21-May 14-Jun % Chg
Reliance Media World 46.65 66.90 43.41
RNRL 44.50 60.90 36.85
Reliance Comm 133.40 179.00 34.18
Reliance Ind Infra 703.70 902.10 28.19
Reliance MediaWorks 166.70 203.55 22.11
Reliance Power 138.65 167.90 21.10
Reliance Infrastructure 988.45 1159.59 17.31
Reliance Capital 641.29 722.50 12.66
Reliance Ind 995.75 1063.40 6.79
Price in Rs on BSE
Compiled By BS Research Bureau

Market players say Reliance companies are getting re-rated, as sibling rivalry seems to have ended and the brothers are seen to be supporting each other. The Ambani family row, termed one of the worst family disputes in corporate India, reached its nadir when Anil Ambani made corruption and fraud allegations against his elder brother and top cabinet ministers in 2009. The charges were serious, as Anil Ambani said the government stood to loose Rs 30,000 crore due to RIL’s inflated capex plan in the Krishna-Godavari basin.

Any movement in Reliance stocks has a significant impact on the markets as they have a weight of 16.36 per cent in the Sensex. On April 7, when the Sensex touched its 52-week high, the share price of RIL was significantly lower than its annual highs.

“Anil Ambani’s allegations had scared investors and they were running away from all Reliance stocks. Even while the Sensex doubled after April 2009 from its low of nearly 8,000, Reliance stocks hardly moved,” said Kishor Ostwal, managing director of Mumbai-based CNI Research.

He said the scenarios had changed drastically. “All Reliance counters are getting re-rated due to the current flow of positive news. There has been a huge surge in client enquiries for Reliance counters and all top funds and punters are re-allocating their portfolios to Reliance,” said Ostwal.

Deven Choksey, chairman and managing director of K R Choksey Shares and Securities, said: “Both Reliance groups are now enjoying the complementing strength of each other, which is why markets perceive that growth will be faster. It will not be surprising if the Mukesh Ambani-led company picks up stake in Reliance Infratel, as he will need infrastructure to take its broadband wireless access services to end-users.”

Some important announcements after the scrapping of the non-compete agreement include RIL's entry into the telecom sector through purchase of Infotel for nearly $1 billion, the demerger of Reliance Infratel from Reliance Communications, the proposal of a strategic stake sale by Reliance Communications and opening of a 4,000-Mw plant on gas and coal in Maharashtra. Earlier, Reliance Communications’ efforts to acquire a global telecom company were vetoed by RIL, which had the first right of refusal.

Among other stocks, Reliance Media World has gained over 41.6 per cent. Reliance Natural Resources Ltd, which lost the recent gas dispute with RIL in the Supreme Court, rose 34 per cent. The stock was last traded at Rs 60.90 on BSE, close to the levels from which it crashed after losing the case last month. Reliance Power has risen 20.3 per cent, Reliance Infrastructure 16.8 per cent, Reliance Industrial Infrastructure 26.6 per cent and Reliance Capital managed gain 12.3 per cent since May 23.

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RELIANCE MEDIA WORLD LIMITED IS ONE OF THE BEST COMPANY IN THE WORLD. I HOPE THE SHARE WILL GO UPTO RS. 400/- IN 1-2 YEARS. THANKS & REGARDS NANIK MANSUKHANI MOB: 9873461417
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