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| Financial crisis may impact growth in emerging mkts: Moody's | |
| Press Trust of India / New Delhi October 10, 2008, 16:01 IST | |
The financial crisis severely impacting the US and Europe, has even reached the shores of emerging market economies and their growth is likely to slowdown by the end of the year, Moody's says.
As per Moody's Economy.Com, a subsidiary of Moody's Corporation, emerging economies have tipped into financial crisis-mode and many of the drivers that led these countries to prosperity this decade including rising commodity prices, robust capital inflows, strong economic growth, appreciating currencies, and low inflation, are now operating in reverse.
"We have counted on emerging economies, which collectively account for half of global GDP, to hold up. However, with the credit crisis reaching shores of emerging market countries, their growth is now likely to fall well below trend by the end of the year," the report stated.
As the risk of a global recession builds, financial capital is flowing out of emerging economies, the resulting drop in asset prices and tightening of financial conditions have further slowed domestic demand.
The report revealed that emerging market policymakers are rapidly changing their focus to downside growth risks, despite the inflation risk posed by currency depreciation.
Central banks in Taiwan and China have lowered interest rates twice in less than a month, while officials in India and Brazil have been tinkering with banks' required reserve ratios in an effort to ease financial strains, Moody's Economy.Com said.
The Reserve Bank of India today announced a further one per cent cut in mandatory cash requirements for banks to keep with the central bank, in addition to the 50 basis points reduction declared earlier, which would come into effect from tomorrow.
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