[COVER STORY]

EDITORIAL

Banker Of The Year
ICICI Bank CEO & MD K V Kamath

BS Round Table
Can the banking system support India’s growth?

Innovate & flourish
Bankers are tweaking their products to attract customers. Will they bite?

The Urge To Merge
The only option left for weak & small co-operative banks is to merge with bigger peers

The Vanishing NPAs
Banks bounce back in 2005-06, posting a growth in net profits and reducing NPAs

Database
All the data you wanted on banks

Database on Co-operative banks

Database of PSU, Foreign & Private banks

Valuation vortex

Why are Indian banks so undervalued? Tamal Bandyopadhyay tries to find an answer

Giants at home, but minnows in the global arena. That just about sums up the state of Indian banks. So when RBI Deputy Governor V Leeladhar says “We are slowly but surely moving from a regime of a large number of small banks to a small number of large banks,” he is only voicing the fond hopes of the domestic banking fraternity.

The problem is real. Consider this: The market capitalisation of Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC), China’s largest lender, at over $157.76 billion is more than double the collective market capitalisation of 37 listed Indian banks, which stood at $69.50 billion as on November 10. It is also eight times the market capitalisation of India’s most valuable bank, ICICI Bank.

ICBC may still be far behind Citigroup ($249 billion), but it is a giant vis-a-vis all Indian banks put together. ICICI Bank tops the market capitalisation chart with $16.60 billion (Rs 74,315 crore), followed by State Bank of India’s $13.35 billion (Rs 59,729 crore) and HDFC Bank’s $7.35 billion (Rs 32,852 crore).

None of the other listed Indian banks has over $5 billion worth of market capitalisation. Punjab National Bank follows with a market cap of just $3.65 billion.

MARKET CAP (IN $ BILLION)

GLOBAL BANKS

INDIAN BANKS*

Citigroup
249
ICICI Bank
16.60
Bank of America
246
State Bank
13.35
HSBC
217
HDFC Bank
7.35
JP Morgan Chase
166
Punjab National Bank
3.65
ICBC
158
UTI Bank
2.80
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group
134
Canara Bank
2.66
UBS
128
Kotak Mahindra Bank
2.65

* As on November 10, 2006


PRICE TO BOOK VALUE (NUMBER OF TIMES)

GLOBAL BANKS INDIAN BANKS*
China Construction Bank 2.5 Kotak Mahindra Bank 14.11
Bank Of China 2.3 Development Credit Bank 9.55
HSBC 2.2 HDFC Bank 6.39
Citibank 2.1 Yes Bank 5.43
Bank of America 1.8 Centurion BOP 4.99
ABN Amro 1.8 UTI Bank 4.71
Credit Agricole 1.5 ICICI Bank 3.46

* Book value as on March 31, 2006

Indian banks indeed fare poorly in terms of market value, but when it comes of the price-to-book value (P/BV) they are quite well placed.

After adjusting for non-performing assets, HDFC Bank’s P/BV is 6.22 times and that of ICICI Bank is 3.32 times. UTI Bank’s P/BV is 4.60; Yes Bank’s 5.44 and Centurion Bank of Punjab’s 4.66. Kotak Mahindra Bank has the highest P/BV at 13.88 and the newly listed Development Credit Bank 9.44. Public sector banks, however, have a lower P/BV – below two times for most of them, barring exceptions like State Bank of India (2.62), Bank of India (2.12) and a few others.

ICBC’s P/BV is about 2.2 times. Most US banks trade in the range of 1.2-3.5 times. In case of European banks, the range is 2-3 times P/BV.

Continued to next page

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