Adani Enterp. 2451.15↑22.00(0.91%)
Adani Ports 734.95↓-1.45(-0.20%)
Apollo Hospitals 4926.70↓0.05(0.00%)
Asian Paints 3180.55↓-31.70(-0.99%)
Axis Bank 974.75↑12.65(1.31%)
B P C L 359.45↓-1.65(-0.46%)
Bajaj Auto 4743.40↓-57.25(-1.19%)
Bajaj Finance 7037.15↑27.05(0.39%)
Bajaj Finserv 1466.50↓-0.90(-0.06%)
Bharti Airtel 833.50↓-2.50(-0.30%)
Britannia Inds. 4878.75↑3.70(0.08%)
Cipla 969.25↑3.85(0.40%)
Coal India 227.65↓-0.45(-0.20%)
Divi's Lab. 3428.75↓-70.95(-2.03%)
Dr Reddy's Labs 4666.80↑17.40(0.37%)
Eicher Motors 3581.30↓-76.10(-2.08%)
Grasim Inds 1715.75↑3.80(0.22%)
H D F C 2652.90↓-0.90(-0.03%)
HCL Technologies 1109.75↓-17.00(-1.51%)
HDFC Bank 1610.60↑1.90(0.12%)
HDFC Life Insur. 581.70↓-12.20(-2.05%)
Hero Motocorp 2899.30↓-65.50(-2.21%)
Hind. Unilever 2636.20↓-43.70(-1.63%)
Hindalco Inds. 415.05↓-3.20(-0.77%)
ICICI Bank 938.05↑0.15(0.02%)
IndusInd Bank 1331.05↑27.20(2.09%)
Infosys 1265.95↓-16.85(-1.31%)
ITC 438.45↓-4.45(-1.00%)
JSW Steel 748.50↓-0.30(-0.04%)
Kotak Mah. Bank 1872.00↓-14.50(-0.77%)
Larsen & Toubro 2363.00↑22.70(0.97%)
M & M 1370.65↓-10.40(-0.75%)
Maruti Suzuki 9627.80↓-30.80(-0.32%)
Nestle India 22073.45↓-75.45(-0.34%)
NTPC 182.80↑0.75(0.41%)
O N G C 154.25↓-1.85(-1.19%)
Power Grid Corpn 244.90↑3.25(1.34%)
Reliance Industr 2481.95↓-17.70(-0.71%)
SBI Life Insuran 1232.40↓-6.50(-0.52%)
St Bk of India 578.70↓-9.80(-1.67%)
Sun Pharma.Inds. 983.95↓-3.05(-0.31%)
Tata Consumer 801.00↓-6.10(-0.76%)
Tata Motors 562.30↑2.60(0.46%)
Tata Steel 108.90↓-2.25(-2.02%)
TCS 3209.30↓-27.15(-0.84%)
Tech Mahindra 1063.05↓-8.25(-0.77%)
Titan Company 2876.25↓-0.75(-0.03%)
UltraTech Cem. 8153.25↑53.10(0.66%)
UPL 680.25↓-9.80(-1.42%)
Wipro 397.30↓-2.25(-0.56%)

As global cash shrinks, party may be over for Indian equities

Even as BofAML expects India's NSE Nifty 50 Index to end 2019 at 11,300 - a 4% gain for the year - it won't be a smooth ride

Premium

The brokerage said that domestic flows may not be enough to protect India from any global sell-off, especially in large-caps. It added that analysts’ estimates of a sharp earnings bounce-back doesn’t give a true picture of growth concerns

Last Updated : Jan 09 2019 | 11:10 AM IST

The party’s over for Indian equities, with stocks headed for another tough year as a shrinking global cash pool dims prospects of an improving economy and expected recovery in company earnings boosting stocks, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

“Imagine you are at a New Year party and happy to find out that there’s more room to dance but suddenly you realize that’s because everyone is leaving and the music has stopped,” Sanjay Mookim, BofAML’s India equity strategist, said at his office in Mumbai. “Indian equities are somewhat like that at the moment,” he said.

Still, purchasing by local funds made India the best-performing equity market in Asia last year, outperforming even the U.S. and the MSCI emerging markets index in local currency terms and leapfrogging Germany to become the seventh-largest in the world. The MSCI India Index trades at 17.2 times its estimated 12-month earnings, a