Coping with the lockdown

Given the scale of demand contraction, we need a fiscal package of at least 3-4 per cent of GDP

Soumya Kanti GhoshPulak GhoshSumit Agarwal


India is now in the second phase of a national lockdown. It took the drastic step when it had recorded only 10 deaths. It seems this is giving us clear benefits in the fight against the Covid-19 pandemic, though the results are still evolving.
As of now, breaking the transmission chain through lockdown is the route most countries have taken recourse to. The medical community is researching whether contracting the virus makes people immune to it in the long term — as is the case with measles.  Some recovered Covid-19 patients have relapsed. A vaccine is 12-18 months away but, in the interim, lockdown cannot be a one-size-fits-all approach. The Spanish Flu circled the world from 1918 to 1920; there were three waves of the pandemic, with the third one accounting for 8 per cent of the overall deaths.
Hence, we need to think beyond the lockdown — implement testing and tracking on a massive scale aimed at protecting the most vulnerab
Disclaimer: These are personal views of the writer. They do not necessarily reflect the opinion of or the Business Standard newspaper

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First Published: Apr 20 2020 | 11:41 PM IST

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