Just when things look…: Beware the surprise that catches you unprepared

As the system emerges from the Covid trauma and India shifts its sights to long-term targets, attention must turn to the underlying weaknesses that may scupper ambitious aspirations, writes T N Ninan

Two things have started looking like certainties for India. One is its continued rise as an economic power in an otherwise troubled global economy. The second is the continued dominance of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), with assured electoral victories and, failing that, post-election shenanigans to capture power. A sub-set of the second is the growing dependence of the BJP on Narendra Modi as a super-sized vote-getter, almost on an Indira Gandhi scale, and on the election-management expertise of Amit Shah, the no-nonsense home minister.

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