BS EDIT: Monsoon 2025: A boost for growth, a warning for policy

By Business StandardPublished On Apr 21, 2025

Above-normal monsoon likely

IMD projects 5% above-normal rain in 2025. Some regions, however, may see shortfall

Farm growth outlook improves

Agri GVA expected at 4.4% in FY25, up from 2.7% in FY24, aided by kharif and rabi gains

Food inflation lowest since 2021

March CPI at 3.34%; food inflation at 2.69%. RBI may get more policy space

322 days of extreme weather in 2024

Monsoon gains should not distract from worsening climate volatility

Use rainfall to restore water

Boost storage, promote sustainable irrigation and climate-resilient crops

Balance short-term gains with long-term strategy

Strong monsoon helps today — only policy can secure tomorrow