The southwest monsoon has begun below normal, raising concerns for the months ahead
Rain deficits can disrupt kharif sowing, affecting rural incomes and economic activity
A weak monsoon could push up food prices and complicate inflation management
Comfortable food stocks and improved inventories offer protection against immediate shocks
The issue is not just rainfall, but storage, groundwater recharge and water management
Better forecasting, climate-smart farming and water conservation are key to long-term preparedness