BS EDIT: External Balance: Why the Rupee Should Weaken

By Business StandardPublished On Aug 13, 2025

Trump’s Tariffs Disrupt Trade

US tariffs on Indian goods and Russian oil upend trade norms, threatening market access

US Exports at Risk

$86.5 bn in exports face over 50% tariffs, pricing most goods out; electronics, pharma may be next

Current Account Pressure

Export losses and fixed imports like crude could widen the trade and current account deficits

Investment Flows Weak

Net FDI just $350 mn; $11.5 bn in portfolio outflows this year signal investor caution

Rupee Feels the Strain

Down 2.3% in 2025 despite a weaker dollar; reserves shouldn’t be used for defence

Why a Weaker Rupee Helps

Makes exports competitive, cushions tariff impact, and aids adjustment to new trade realities