The southwest monsoon withdrew early after 7% excess rain. La Niña is expected by October, raising chances of more rainfall and a colder winter
Full reservoirs and rich soil moisture strengthen Kharif crops and support Rabi sowing. A colder season favours wheat, barley and mustard in northern regions
Harvest-time showers can ruin crops, lower quality, and spoil perishables. Such disruptions often fuel food inflation and unsettle the wider economy
While early chill benefits wheat, extreme cold or frost may damage yields. Prolonged rains risk waterlogging fields and harming fruit and vegetable output
Farmers need timely advisories and stronger crop insurance. Vigilant price monitoring and rapid action on perishables can help prevent shortages
Weather variability is now routine. Climate-resilient seeds, better forecasting and local storage are key to turning a good monsoon into farm prosperity