The much awaited spectrum auction, wherein eight companies are bidding to acquire radiowaves in four bands, started today.
Fitch said: "The auction is likely to see intense bidding by telcos to retain their existing spectrum and to acquire new spectrum as supply is limited. Telcos are likely to commit at least $13 billion in the auctions."
The government has set a base price of Rs 82,395 crore for the 2G and 3G spectrum across various frequencies.
Sources in the government have said that it expects bids to top Rs 1 lakh crore.
The bids are expected to ease pressure on the rising fiscal deficit, which has already overshot the budget estimate and was at 107 per cent as of January.
Over three fourths of the bids will come from the top four operators including Bharti Airtel, Vodafone and Idea Cellular, while Reliance Jio - slated to make pan-India entry this year - will also be bidding, the agency said.
Among the lot, the Aditya Birla Group-promoted Idea may have to bid most aggressively as over 70 per cent of its annual revenue is at stake, it said.
"Idea is most exposed in the auctions as it needs to retain its expiring spectrum in circles which contribute around 70 per cent of its annual revenue," it said, adding that it is the same for Vodafone and Airtel at 45 per cent and 35 per cent, respectively.
Each of the three said companies' total bids will be between $2.5 to 4.5 billion, including acquiring spectrum getting expired as well as new spectrum for serving the growing data usage.
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