China's slowing economy overshadows US business lobby survey

China's economic slowdown is hitting profits at more foreign companies, a survey by an American business lobby showed

Cranes are seen above piles of steel pipes to be exported at a port in Lianyungang, Jiangsu province, China. Photo: Reuters
Cranes are seen above piles of steel pipes to be exported at a port in Lianyungang, Jiangsu province, China. Photo: Reuters
Reuters Beijing
Last Updated : Jan 20 2016 | 10:11 AM IST

China's economic slowdown is hitting profits at more foreign companies, a survey by an American business lobby showed, while the vast majority of respondents believed China's growth in 2016 would fall short of the central bank's forecast.

The number of foreign companies rating their business profitable dropped to a five-year low in 2015, while 45% of about 500 respondents in the American Chamber of Commerce in China's annual survey reported that revenues in 2015 were down or remained flat from a year earlier.

Data from China's statistics bureau on Tuesday showed growth for 2015 was 6.9%, its weakest pace in a quarter of a century, capping a tumultuous year that witnessed a huge outflow of capital, a slide in the currency and a summer stocks crash..

"Although many respondents remain optimistic about China's domestic market growth potential, almost half of survey respondents expect that China's overall GDP growth in 2016 will be lower than 6.25%," the American Chamber said in its business climate survey.

UNCLEAR LAWS

The People's Bank of China in December forecast that the country's annual economic growth will slow to 6.8% in 2016.

The American Chamber survey results, published on Wednesday, underscore the growing unease and challenges faced by some overseas companies in the world's second-biggest economy.

Forty-eight percent of respondents expected GDP growth this year to reach 6.25% or less, while 35% said the economy would increase between 6.25 and 6.75%.

Business confidence also was impacted by regulatory and protectionist concerns, following a series of government investigations targeting foreign companies and the roll-out of a national security law limiting the use of overseas technology.

For the first time in five years, respondents cited "inconsistent regulatory interpretation and unclear laws" as the top business challenge, the report said.

Seventy-seven percent of respondents said they believed foreign companies were less welcome than before.

"While the Chinese leadership has emphasized that the country will follow the rule of law, our members continue to report that the regulatory and judicial process are less than fair and lack adequate oversight," James Zimmerman, Chairman of AmCham, said in the report.

Overall, 64% of respondents said their companies were financially profitable in the last year, compared with 73% in 2014.

Revenues at 45% of the firms remained flat or declined compared with a year earlier, compared with 39% in 2014, the report said.

"While China remains a top investment priority, fewer companies are increasing their investment levels in China," the report said.

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Jan 20 2016 | 6:39 AM IST

Next Story