Gold near 1-week low as US jobs data boosts rate-hike expectations

Speculators added net longs in gold futures for the first time in four weeks in the week to August 2

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Reuters
Last Updated : Aug 08 2016 | 11:17 AM IST
Gold hovered near one-week lows on Monday, after falling about two per cent in the previous session, as a stronger-than-expected US jobs report likely increased the possibility of a rate hike this year by the Federal Reserve.

US employment rose more than expected for the second month in a row in July and wages picked up, bolstering expectations of faster economic growth, and raising the probability of an interest rate increase this year.

Spot gold was nearly flat at $1,335.40 an ounce by 0323 GMT. It earlier touched its lowest since July 29 at 1,331.36.

US gold edged down 0.2 per cent to $1,341.50 an ounce.

"Gold prices have fully digested the non-farm payrolls data," said OCBC Bank analyst Barnabas Gan.

"Yes, the US economic fundamentals have picked up. But, the downside risks from whatever is happening from Brexit is still unknown. Another uncertainty that market watchers will be looking at would be the US presidential elections," added Gan.

Spot gold may test resistance at $1,339 per ounce, with a good chance of breaking above this level and bouncing more towards the next resistance at $1,346, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

"An initial dip through the Friday low during early Asian trade today was well supported and we have continued to see bargain hunters step in during Chinese trade," said MKS PAMP Group trader Sam Laughlin.

Traders and top Wall Street banks expect the US Federal Reserve to raise US interest rates in 2016 after a strong July jobs report.

Gold is highly sensitive to rising rates, which lift the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets such as bullion, while boosting the dollar, in which it is priced.

Speculators added net longs in gold futures for the first time in four weeks in the week to August 2.

Holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, rose 0.73 per cent to 980.34 tonnes on Friday.

"We may be seeing a turning point setting in for both gold and silver, as the impact of the non-farm payroll number cannot be dismissed," INTL FCStone analyst Edward Meir said in a note.

"This will now prompt investors to look for an increasingly aggressive Fed going into the second half of the year," he added.

Among other precious metals, spot silver hit a near two-week low and was down 0.3 per cent at $19.60 an ounce. It fell three per cent on Friday.

Spot platinum was up 0.4 per cent at $1,146. Palladium was nearly flat at $693.55.
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First Published: Aug 08 2016 | 9:24 AM IST

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