These two results underline the troubled state of the sector. Of course, the companies themselves should take part of the blame; the Tata group, for example, had exited a venture called Batata (Birla-AT&T and Tata), in which it had 48 per cent in the 1990s as it was enamoured of CDMA technology. Batata went on to become Idea Cellular, India’s third-biggest operator by revenue, while CDMA-based Tata Teleservices remained a laggard ever since inception.
While there has been a consumer-friendly race to make data cheaper as a consequence, it is very clear that a combination of past mistakes and current lopsided competition has distorted the market and hampers growth-focused investment.
As a consequence, few pools of capital will now want to enter a sector with obvious sovereign risk. This makes it even easier for a cash-rich entrant to seek dominance. There have also been some questionable regulatory decisions that incumbents felt helped the newcomers. Their concerns cannot continually be ignored. Like it or not, the firms that exist will also need to make investments if India is to have a healthy telecommunications sector.
The focus must be on answering the following question: How can a competitive market structure be supported in the sector? How can companies be incentivised to continually improve service quality so that consumers benefit? And how can administrative discretion — and thus opportunities for corrupt dealings — be minimised? Once the state's approach to the telecommunications sector is reframed along these lines, and the current shake-up in the sector ends, it is possible that once again telecom will propel Indian growth forward, and provide ever-improving services to Indians.
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