Soumya Kanti Ghosh is the Group Chief Economic Advisor of State Bank of India & Member 16th Finance Commission. Previously, he has worked at the Tata AIA, American Express and ICRA among others.
When seen historically, India's exchange rate arrangement, both de-facto and de-jure, was floating from 1999 to 2022 (independent, managed, and floating)
The forward-looking ECL-based allowance (or provision) is applied at origination and for all subsequent reporting periods to financial assets till derecognition
The integration of AI in economic forecasting, specifically inflation prediction, is a burgeoning field that leverages advancements in ML and natural language processing
Let us look at the data. We find out technically that there was a regime shift in terms of movements in the value of the rupee when it crossed 80 to the dollar in August 2022
Apprehensions have been expressed in public domain of a slowdown in money supply on the back of an inadequate reserve money expansion and this could play a role in growth slowdown
Employers and employees must contribute a percentage of their basic salary plus DA towards the UPS fund - which differentiates it from OPS but makes it similar to NPS
Households still invested Rs 10 trillion in bank deposits and another Rs 2.5 trillion in small savings deposits out of this Rs 29.7 trillion pie, or 42%
Growth prospects are robust domestically. Key drivers on the demand side, household consumption will improve further, while prospects of fixed investment remain bright
Finally, the RBI is right in not providing a forward guidance in the current uncertain environment but providing a detailed explanation of keeping the stance unchanged