US Federal Reserve

Dovish FOMC outcome is supportive of higher gold prices in very short term, though oil prices can cut the rally short.

The Fed's decision to hold rates while signalling a hawkish stance has heightened uncertainty, leaving investors to navigate volatile stock and bond markets without clear forward guidance

Warsh, who took over as Fed chair in May, has said he has "no tolerance" for inflation that has remained above the central bank's 2 per cent target for more than five years

Domestic currency settles at 95.65 per dollar as RBI intervention, equity gains and short-covering offset pressure from higher crude oil prices

Fed policy preview: The bigger risk for the market lies not in the rate decision itself but in the possibility of a more hawkish tone than markets currently anticipate.

The Federal Reserve, Bank of England and Bank of Japan face key policy decisions as rising oil prices, inflation risks and tariffs cloud the global economic outlook

Gold and silver are heading into a crucial week, with the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, oil price movement and the US-Iran conflict determining whether bullion extends its recovery or comes under renewed pressure, analysts said. Apart from the Fed's decision, investors will monitor US Consumer Confidence, Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data, weekly jobless claims and monetary policy announcements by the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan. "Market sentiment will continue to be driven by developments in the US-Iran geopolitical situation, the direction of crude oil prices, and their impact on inflation expectations ahead of the US Federal Reserve's policy decision on July 29," said Jateen Trivedi, VP Research Analyst - Commodity and Currency, LKP Securities. On the domestic front, gold futures for August delivery rose Rs 2,200, or 1.6 per cent, to close at Rs 1.43 lakh per 10 grams during the last week. Silver futures for September delivery gain

Three days of Group of Seven rate decisions, starting with the US Fed, followed by peers at the Bank of England and Bank of Japan, may show vigilance at the prospect of energy-driven inflation

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said AI-driven price increases may not be inflationary, arguing higher investment could boost productivity and wages over time

Inflation is currently running above the Fed's 2 per cent target, and there is uncertainty around whether renewed conflict in West Asia could reverse recent progress

Indian-origin leaders Raghuram Rajan, Raj Chetty and Asha Sharma will head key US Federal Reserve task forces reviewing monetary policy and institutional reforms

Fed minutes show some officials considered a rate hike as persistent inflation, energy prices and AI-driven demand kept pressure on the US interest-rate outlook

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said US inflation risks have eased and reaffirmed the central bank's commitment to price stability, while ruling out forward guidance on rates

Domestically, MCX gold remained relatively resilient, seeing a 5 per cent decline in the June quarter, supported by the depreciation of the Indian rupee and higher import duties.

Expectations of higher US interest rates and a stronger dollar outweighed geopolitical concerns, sending gold prices sharply lower

Global stocks fell as Apple's price hikes rattled tech shares, while oil slid on easing supply fears and gold edged higher on a weaker US dollar

US consumer spending rose in May despite the highest inflation in over three years, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates

Alan Greenspan's legacy spans economic stability, financial deregulation and debate over the 2008 crisis, while his views on India underscored the need for deeper reforms

In his 2007 memoir, Alan Greenspan praised India's reforms but argued that lingering socialist policies and bureaucracy were holding back its economic potential

Greenspan, who led the US Federal Reserve from 1987 to 2006, was celebrated for steering economic expansion but later faced criticism over the financial crisis that followed