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This year's steady slowdown in US inflation likely continued in November, though the latest data may also point to steadily higher prices in some areas of the economy. Tuesday's inflation report from the Labor Department is expected to show that businesses kept overall prices unchanged for a second straight month. Falling gas prices, in particular, are thought to have offset a rise in food costs from October to November. And compared with a year earlier, inflation is expected to ease to 3.1 per cent from 3.2 per cent in October, according to a survey of economists by FactSet. But a closely watched category called core prices, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, is predicted to rise 0.3 per cent from October to November a monthly pace that far outpaces the Federal Reserve's 2 per cent annual inflation target. On a year-over-year basis, core prices are expected to increase 4 per cent, the same as in October. The Fed considers core prices to be a better guide to the likely
Yields are rising in the US bond market Friday following a highly anticipated report on the US job market. The US stock market is closed in observance of Good Friday, as are many markets across Europe. That leaves the US bond market as one of the few open to react to the latest jobs update, which showed hiring lost a bit more momentum than expected last month but largely remained resilient. The data was so anticipated because it could offer a big clue for the Federal Reserve, which faces a tough decision on interest rates that will affect the entire economy. Should it keep raising rates in order to drive down inflation that's still high? Or should it hold off given all the signs of slowing across the economy and stress in the banking system that's already been caused by the past year's swift surge in rates? The immediate reaction from the bond market Friday morning seemed to lean toward another hike. Not only did yields rise for Treasurys, so did bets for the Fed to raise rates by