Author: BVR Subbu | Publisher: Hachette | Pages: 316 | Price: Rs 599
By the middle of 1999, the story went, a global investment bank, rumoured to be Bank of America, apparently approached both GM and, hold your breath — MUL (Maruti Udyog Ltd) — ostensibly on behalf of Korean banks, to acquire the banks’ majority stakes in HMI that they held as collateral. While the proposal to GM apparently stayed stuck in its decision-making maze, an advisor to SMC [Suzuki Motor Corporation], a person I have always considered one of the foremost strategists in the Indian automotive industry, sensing an unbelievable opportunity, was rumoured to have moved with alacrity for the kill. SMC probably did not then have the liquidity for the acquisition and in any case would have had to contend with the government of India, the co-promoter in MUL, giving consent and approval…if they wanted another plant in India. But Suzuki’s advisor apparently figured the company could, instead, route the proposed share acquisition through MUL. However, access to MUL’s not inconsiderable cash hoard would require the approval of the government nominees on the board of MUL. That clearly could not have been taken for granted. But, according to investment bankers in the know, Suzuki’s advisor had apparently thought through that as well and had crafted a detailed note explaining how, in the event of a possible meltdown in Korea and the collapse of HMC, the acquisition of HMI equity was essential to protect 1,600 jobs in the then DMK-ruled Tamil Nadu, an argument they were absolutely certain the then union minister for commerce and industry, himself from Tamil Nadu, could never have ignored. In the informal negotiations that followed, confident that there was simply no other potential buyer in India, SMC’s advisor apparently did not budge beyond Rs 30 per share, offering, however, to put the MUL cheque on the table within a week of concluding the transaction. He had been following HMI closely, thanks to feedback from the SMC and MUL export teams, which consistently reported on Hyundai’s products and export pricing approach. The reports apparently noted that in European markets, the Korean company was rumoured to spend on marketing and promotion on every single car, an amount equal to the sale price of the car itself, all in an effort to gain market share. SMC’s advisor had apparently opined that despite the Korean market being both protected and oligopolistic, it would be difficult for HMC to sustain such pricing aggression in the export market without taking a debilitating hit on the bottom line. … The Korean bankers, it was then rumoured, might have settled for a number 50 per cent higher than what Suzuki’s advisor had informally offered, but when they realized their asking price was unachievable they decided not to monetize their security and opted to sit out the much-feared carnage. On the other hand, given Korean sensitivities about everything Japanese, they may well have baulked at the altar. But then the tide turned — and quite unexpectedly.