Capital inflows from advanced economies may be risky: Survey

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Press Trust of India New Delhi
Last Updated : Jan 20 2013 | 12:36 AM IST

Absorbing capital inflows from advanced economies could be a challenge for India as they might lead to overheating of the economy, the pre-Budget survey has cautioned.

"... With interest rates at historic lows in most advanced economies, capital flows from these countries are finding their way into the fast growing Asian economies, including India," said the Economic Survey, which lists the risks that the Indian economy might face, tabled in Parliament.

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Highlights of Economic Survey 2009-10

It added that issue that arises is whether inflows are in excess of the domestic absorptive capacity or this could lead to overheating of the economy.

"The related issue is the need to balance the competing objectives of price and exchange stability," it added.

The Survey added that this can also be looked at as the "impossible trinity" dilemma of policy choice between price stability, exchange rate stability and capital mobility.

It also said that another challenge for the economy is that the advanced countries continue to face risk of double- dip recession with high unemployment rate, growing fiscal deficit and high public debt-GDP ratios.

"Such risks can have direct implications for the Indian economy, which is increasingly integrated with the rest of the world," the Survey added.

Foreign institutional investment (FII) during 2009 stood at $17 billion, while the investment in debt instruments was little over $1 billion, as per the Sebi data.

The net investments in debts by FIIs so far this year is around $2.8 billion; while in equity segment,  foreign fund houses have parked just $94 million.

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First Published: Feb 25 2010 | 4:00 PM IST

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