India needs more action to support fiscal stability: IMF

The IMF said, "Since 2013, reductions in spending have fostered some improvement in fiscal deficit, and current account deficit has narrowed more than expected."

India needs more action to support fiscal stability: IMF
Press Trust Of India Washington
Last Updated : Oct 31 2015 | 2:15 AM IST
India needs to take further policy action to support external and fiscal stability in the future, and should focus on revenue-side measures and adopt additional structural reforms to sustain strong growth, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said on Friday.

"In particular, reforms should include more emphasis on revenue-side measures and the adoption of additional structural reforms to boost potential output," it said.

The IMF said, "Since 2013, reductions in spending have fostered some improvement in fiscal deficit, and current account deficit has narrowed more than expected." The IMF, in its latest Staff Sustainability Assessments for G-20 Mutual Assessment Process, attributed this improvement to import compression associated with weak private investment, as well as a reduction in gold imports.

More recently, economic activity has been strengthening, as business and consumer confidence have rallied in response to favourable policies and increased political certainty following the 2014 election, it said.

Going forward, strong growth is expected to continue as a result of lower oil prices and favourable policy measures, though inflation expectations remain elevated despite relatively tight monetary policy and lower global commodity prices, IMF said.

The main risks stem from a surge in global financial market volatility, slower-than-expected progress in addressing domestic supply-side bottlenecks, and a supply-induced spike in inflation, the IMF said.

According to the report, in coming years the current account deficit is expected to remain stable as downward pressure on imports associated with lower oil prices should be largely offset by stronger domestic demand and stronger external demand should buoy exports.

Still, recent increase in private investment could imply larger future external deficits, particularly if national saving does not increase, it noted.

The IMF said there are several risks to economic stability, from both domestic and external factors.

"On the external side, risks stem from the normalisation of monetary policy in advanced economies (the US in particular), which could increase global financial market volatility in the short term,"
*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Oct 31 2015 | 12:10 AM IST

Next Story