The carmaker has been embroiled in crisis since last September, when it admitted it had cheated US emissions tests using software known as "defeat devices".
The US Justice Department is suing the German company for up to $46 billion for allegedly violating environmental laws - though some legal experts expect the final settlement to be far lower.
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EU sources and lawyers say it would be surprise if the firm received any significant fines in the European Union.
While the bloc outlawed defeat devices in 2007, there are no defined penalties for using such software to mask emissions. Under US law, by contrast, carmakers must identify and describe any emissions control devices, meaning they can be pursued for omission or wrongful declaration, widening the scope for punitive action.
EU states are also reluctant to mete out tough financial penalties, because of an unwritten rule in the 28-member club that some national interests are sacred, according to the EU sources - and Germany's car industry has traditionally been one of them.
VW, Europe's biggest motor manufacturer, employs more than 750,000 people in Germany, and has been a symbol of the nation's engineering prowess. VW, Daimler and BMW, Germany's big three German carmakers, hauled in revenues of Euro 413 billion in 2014, far bigger than the German federal budget, which stood at just under Euro 300 billion.
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