Gold eases on firm dollar, euro zone fear

Image
Reuters Singapore
Last Updated : Feb 02 2013 | 11:05 AM IST

Gold prices edged down on Monday, after the momentum that pushed prices up 3% last week fizzled as the dollar firmed with growing worries about the euro zone debt crisis.

Concerns about the debt crisis overshadowed upbeat data out of the United States which showed the unemployment rate fell to a near three-year low, evidence that economic growth is gaining steam.

After ignoring the dollar's strength for two days last week, gold buckled under the dollar, which rose to a near 16-month high against a basket of currencies at the expense of a battered euro.

"There is a somewhat weaker trend across the commodities, as the strength of the dollar is playing a role in limiting appetite," said Nick Trevethan, senior commodity strategist at ANZ in Singapore.

The positive US employment report also weighed on sentiment on gold, as it lessens the chance of further easing from the US Federal Reserve, added Trevethan.

"But Europe is still a basket case and investors are hoping to see more easing out of the European Central Bank (ECB) at some point."

Investors are pinning their hopes on further monetary easing from the Federal Reserve and ECB to propel gold to new highs this year.

Spot gold dropped 0.2% to $1,613.70 an ounce by 0713 GMT, on course for a second straight session of losses.

The most-active US gold futures contract edged down 0.1% to $1,614.80.

Technical analysis suggested that spot gold could drop to $1,589 an ounce during the day, said Reuters market analyst Wang Tao.

The annual rebalancing of commodity indices, including DJ-UBS and SPGSCI, which happens in the first two weeks of the year, is likely to weigh on gold -- one of the outperformers of 2011, analysts said.

"The rebalancing is mostly but not exclusively a matter of selling the previous year's outperformers and buying the underperformers to bring the portfolio composure back in line," said Saxo Bank in a research note.

The dollar rally also kept a lid on Asia's appetite for bullion.

"Gold is not cheap in local currencies in Asia and we only see some light buying," said a Singapore-based dealer, who added that gold bar premiums rose to $1.70 an ounce above spot prices, from $1.30 a week earlier.

The euro zone will kick off a busy week with a meeting between German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy on measures to boost jobs in debt-laden states.

Market participants will also closely watch debt auctions this week by Italy and Spain, seen as a test if investors are willing to pour more money into the euro zone, now in its third year of the debt crisis.

Money managers reduced their net length in US gold futures and options for a third straight week in the week ended January 3, down to its lowest in nearly two years, said the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Jan 09 2012 | 12:00 AM IST

Next Story