British government analysis says UK to be worse off outside EU - BuzzFeed

Image
Reuters
Last Updated : Jan 30 2018 | 6:10 AM IST

(Reuters) - A confidential analysis by the British government on the impact of Brexit suggests all U.K. industries will be hurt by leaving the European Union, BuzzFeed News reported on Monday.

The analysis, which looks at three probable Brexit scenarios, is titled "EU Exit Analysis - Cross Whitehall Briefing" and dated January 2018, BuzzFeed reported. http://bzfd.it/2BBu2B6

The Department for Exiting the EU headed by Brexit Minister David Davis said the government was not prepared to comment on its analysis.

A government spokesperson said: "We have been clear that we are not prepared to provide a running commentary on any aspect of this ongoing internal work."

BuzzFeed said, citing the analysis, that in a comprehensive free-trade agreement with the EU, UK growth over the next 15 years will be 5 percent lower than current forecasts.

Under a "no deal" situation in which Britain returns to World Trade Organization rules, growth will be cut by 8 percent over the same period.

If the UK has continued access to the single market through membership in the European Economic Area, long-term growth will fall 2 percent, the analysis showed.

The analysis showed trade deals with other non-EU countries and blocs will add up to 0.4 percent to UK GDP in the long run.

All UK regions would be adversely affected by the UK's exit from EU, with maximum impact to be faced by the Northeast, the West Midlands, and Northern Ireland.

Britain has said it wants out of the EU's single market and customs union while keeping an open border between its province of Northern Ireland and the Irish Republic, an apparent contradiction that has yet to be fully addressed.

British Prime Minister Theresa May has come under fire over her Brexit strategy in recent days, with eurosceptic rivals criticising her for largely accepting the EU push for a status quo transition.

(Reporting by Kanishka Singh in Bengaluru; Editing by Cynthia Osterman)

Disclaimer: No Business Standard Journalist was involved in creation of this content

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Jan 30 2018 | 5:55 AM IST

Next Story