Oil up 2 percent after early swing on dollar, OPEC move

Image
Reuters NEW YORK
Last Updated : Jun 06 2015 | 2:22 AM IST

By Barani Krishnan

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Oil staged its first rally in three days on Friday, gaining 2 percent, despite warnings of more oversupply as a result of OPEC's decision to keep pumping crude without restraint.

A strong dollar, often enough to depress commodity prices, failed to stem the late run-up in Brent and U.S. crude futures, despite limiting their gains in choppy trade earlier.

"I guess some people wanted to take their oil shorts off before the weekend and put them on again next week. Otherwise how do you have a run-up on a day like this when OPEC promises to flood the market with more supply?" said Tariq Zahir, an oil bear at Tyche Capital Advisors in Laurel Hollow, New York.

Crude's biggest producers and shippers in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries agreed at a meeting in Vienna to stick to a policy of unconstrained output for another six months.

Oil prices rose right after the decision, as market bulls tried to make up for losses since Wednesday. Brent and U.S. crude fell nearly 3 percent a day in the past two sessions as traders locked in advanced bets that OPEC would not cut supply.

The dollar's surge on a stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report for May sent the market on a tailspin, however. [FRX/] Crude fell more than $1 a barrel, with Brent hitting seven-week lows, before descending into extreme volatility until the late rally.

"The jobs report just blew away expectations and set the dollar on an unexpected run that tore into oil's gains," said Phil Flynn, analyst at the Price Futures Group in Chicago.

"But at the same time, bulls were already hedged for the OPEC decision not to cut output and ready for a relief rally after the losses of the past two days."

Brent settled up $1.28, or 2.1 percent, at $63.31 a barrel after tumbling to an April 16 low of $60.94, but it still fell 3.6 percent on the week.

U.S. crude jumped $1.13, or almost 2 percent to settle at $59.13, versus a session low of $56.83. For the week, it lost 2 percent.

The discount, or so-called "contango," between U.S. crude's front-month and second-month widened to its largest in a week as oversupply worries mounted after the OPEC decision.

"To me, this is really what people should be watching as the wider the contango gets, the weaker price will be going forth," said Zahir.

(Additional reporting by Vladimir Soldatkin in London and Henning Gloystein in Singapore; Editing by Chris Reese and Andre Grenon)

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Jun 06 2015 | 2:05 AM IST

Next Story