Praveen Singh

Gold price outlook: In the near term, gold can slide further. A test of support around $4000 is possible, while an extended decline to $3800 cannot be ruled out.

Silver was trading at $66, down 7.78 per cent from June 17 high of $71.57.

According to Praveen Singh, head of commodities at Mirae Asset Sharekhan, silver is expected to continue to remain under pressure unless a US-Iran deal is formally announced

A firmer dollar, rate hikes by central banks, ETF outflows, and elevated yields are likely to keep the yellow metal under pressure. China's demand is not too strong either

In near-term, the metal is expected to be under pressure unless oil prices come down on sustainable basis

Gold ETF flows remain uninspiring, as investors continue to be deterred by elevated volatility and the prospect of higher interest rates

Gold's trajectory continues to depend on oil prices as traders remain fixated on rate moves. High oil prices are supporting the US Dollar and increasing the probability of rate hikes

In the present scenario, upside in silver is expected to remain capped barring clear and material developments aiding constructive US-Iran negotiations

Gold is expected to range trade with a bearish bias with a possible test of $4600 unless the US and Iran make material progress towards resolving the conflict through diplomatic channels.

Silver can test support around $72 should bears take out the key level of $74.50. Upside may be capped at around $79 for a very short term

On April 14, silver prices surged to $80.85 -- the highest since March 13 -- on Iran peace hopes before erasing gains as the US Dollar stabilised

Gold may rise to $5000 in the short term, though a sustainable extension of the ongoing rally, which has been in place from the cycle low of $4099, will call for an increase in the safe haven appeal

The metal may extend its recovery further to $5,000 in short term on ceasefire hopes. However, for a sustainable rally, it needs to reestablish its safe haven credentials.

Silver recovery is being driven by ceasefire optimism that is keeping the oil prices capped. Safe-haven flows seem to be largely absent

Safe haven demand for gold during escalating geopolitical tensions due to the raging Iran war has not been strong enough to overcome the dollar strength and rate pressure

Silver, like gold, remains under acute downside pressure as hardening yields and fading rate-cut expectations reflect central banks' heightened vigilance against the spectre of inflation.

Gold price outlook: Gold is caught between safe haven demand support and selling coming on a firmer US Dollar

Dips towards the key support at $84 are likely to be well supported as geopolitical concerns continue to linger, said Praveen Singh, head currencies and commodities at Mirae Asset

In the current scenario, gold may continue to range trade with traders seeking more geopolitical clues before committing themselves, said Praveen Singh, head currencies and commodities at Mirae Asset

China, being on holiday until February 23, has weakened the buying support in silver. However, geopolitical concerns continue to support.