Silver Imports

Silver moving through the $90/oz mark, believes Nigel Green, chief executive officer of deVere Group, a global consulting firm that has $14 billion in AUM, marks a decisive shift in market psycology

Silver is not just a precious metal but a key industrial and energy transition input, and India should focus on processing it by securing long-term overseas mining supplies, boosting domestic refining and recycling, reducing reliance on imported finished silver, and diversifying import sources, GTRI said. It said China is the world's dominant processor of silver. Beijing is importing around USD 5.6 billion of silver ores and concentrates out of a global total of USD 6.3 billion. It refines this metal domestically and exports higher-value silver embedded in electronics, medical devices, and solar panels. India, by contrast, imported about USD 6.4 billion of refined silver in 2024, 21.4 per cent of global trade, making it the world's largest consumer of finished silver rather than a processor. "India must learn to process silver from the ore stage for domestic value addition," Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI) Founder Ajay Srivastava said. In FY25, India exported just USD 478.

In the short-term, however, further heightened volatility can not be ruled out, especially due to geopolitical factors and US CPI data

Higher imports by India, the world's second-biggest consumer of the precious metal, are set to support gold prices that hit records this week, even as demand languishes in top buyer China

Looking ahead to 2025, with demand forecast at 1,148.3Moz against supply of 1,030.6Moz, the silver market, Nomura said, faces its fifth consecutive year of deficit at 117.6Moz

Silver outlook continues to remain constructive on rate cut expectations, huge ETF inflows, elevated geopolitical and economic risks. Strength in gold bodes well for silver.

Silver trading strategy: Healthy risk appetite on US-China trade truce extension and surging risk assets would continue to support the metal into the dips.

Silver is well-supported by strong ETF inflows, but a firm dollar and trade news flow pose a risk to the metal prices, analyst says

Usage-wise, silver has a 52 per cent demand from industrial applications, and one of the biggest demand growth driver is its use in clean energy applications such as solar energy and electric vehicles

Gold/Silver ratio above 100 poses a risk to silver prices as it indicates troubles with the global economy. The ratio may rise to 110-112 in the coming weeks

Silver has been subjected to intense selling pressure due to its industrial attribute. Nearly 64 per cent of the total demand for the metal is industrial, says Praveen Singh of Mirae Asset Sharekhan

Silver prices rose nearly 18 per cent in Q1 2025 as the it rallied around 3 per cent last week.

Gem and Jewellery Export Promotion Council says step will balance trade deficit with the US

Silver may decline a bit, though downside is likely to be limited

Silver is expected to push higher should gold rise to record highs. The grey metal is up around 15 per cent this year

As long as Silver continues to hold above $30 (Rs 88,000), we look for a target of $35 (Rs 103,000) in the coming months

Support for Silver is at $31.77 (Rs 94,000) /$31.11 (Rs 92,000). Resistance is $32.55 (Rs 96,300)/$33.45 (Rs 99,000)

Total known global silver ETF holdings stood at 710.01 MOz, the lowest since September 23, as on January 27

Silver looks vulnerable as industrial commodities are under pressure on Trump's tariff threats

Silver trading strategy: Support is at $30 (Rs 90,200)/$29.60 (Rs 89,000). Resistance is at $31.10 (Rs 93,400)/$31.50 (Rs 94,600)/$31.85 (Rs 95,600)