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Gold prices are likely to remain volatile in the coming week but may find support as focus shifts to key US economic data releases, including jobs report and the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes for fresh signals on the interest rate decision, analysts said. Investors will also closely watch Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech on Wednesday. Along with comments from other Fed officials throughout the week which will drive the gold prices, they added. "The volatility is expected to remain high, but prices may find some support... Focus will be on the US economic data releases, which may give some clues on the health of the American economy & possible some direction on the Fed's rate outlook," Pranav Mer, Vice President, EBG - Commodity & Currency Research, JM Financial Services Ltd, said. On a weekly basis, gold futures for December delivery climbed by Rs 2,494, or 2.06 per cent in the past week, on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX). "The precious metal rallied ...
The prospect of high inflation stemming from widespread tariffs along with weaker hiring could put the Federal Reserve in a difficult spot, Fed policymakers said in minutes from last month's meeting. The minutes, released Wednesday, said that the Fed could keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged if inflation remained stubbornly elevated. And they said it could cut its rate if growth slowed and unemployment rose. The minutes were for the Fed's March 18-19 meeting. But if both happened at the same time, the Fed may face difficult tradeoffs, some of the 19 officials on the central bank's interest-rate setting committee said. Rising unemployment can often lead to a recession, when the Fed would normally slash its key rate to support more borrowing and spending and stimulate the economy. Yet Fed officials would likely be reluctant to cut if inflation rose, because it usually seeks to cool higher prices by keeping its key rate unchanged or even raising it if necessary. The minutes ..
No one knows how Tuesday's presidential election will turn out, but the Federal Reserve's move two days later is much easier to predict: With inflation continuing to cool, the Fed is set to cut interest rates for a second time this year. The presidential contest might still be unresolved when the Fed ends its two-day meeting Thursday afternoon, yet that uncertainty would have no effect on its decision to further reduce its benchmark rate. The Fed's future actions, though, will become more unsettled once a new president and Congress take office in January, particularly if Donald Trump were to win the White House again. Trump's proposals to impose high tariffs on all imports and launch mass deportations of unauthorised immigrants and his threat to intrude on the Fed's normally independent rate decisions could send inflation surging, economists have said. Higher inflation would, in turn, compel the Fed to slow or stop its rate cuts. On Thursday, the Fed's policymakers, led by Chair ..