FDI inflow momentum may slow this year: HSBC

FDI inflows doubled to USD 46 billion in 2016 from $22 billion in 2013

FDI
Photo: Shutterstock
Press Trust of India New Delhi
Last Updated : May 07 2017 | 1:54 PM IST
India's FDI inflow momentum may slow down this year and exports too may not revive with "full gusto" as domestic bottlenecks remain, says a report.

Although higher world growth is likely to buoy exports, a strengthening rupee and worsening domestic bottlenecks could limit the increase, it said.

"Stronger exports and higher FDI inflows have likely contributed to the strong performance of the INR is recent times. While both are likely to remain buoyant, we believe it is important to note that incremental gains over the short term may not be limitless," HSBC said in a research note.

Also Read

The global financial services major noted further that world growth explains just a third of India's exports performance and as long as domestic bottlenecks remain a constraint, exports may not revive with full 'gusto'.

Besides stalled investments, domestic constraints include cotton availability for textiles, irrigation facilities for agriculture, FDI for engineering goods, human capital for software exports and tariff rates for all.

FDI inflows doubled to USD 46 billion in 2016 from $22 billion in 2013.

Moreover, FDI outflows have also been falling, resulting in a rapid rise in net FDI gains for the economy. So much so, net FDI alone has completely funded India's current account deficit over the last three years, HSBC said.

Though incremental inflows may not be as rapid as was seen in 2016, overall FDI inflows this year are likely to be strong enough to finance India's current account deficit.

Over the longer term, FDI inflows are likely to rise, given India's reform momentum, bright growth prospects, enhanced macro stability, sustained increase in FDI limits, and easier regulations.
*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: May 07 2017 | 1:30 PM IST

Next Story