EC symbol order to leave imprint on UP poll outcome

BJP on its part is seeking to capitalise by promising development and law and order

The Election Commission's recognition to the Akhilesh Yadav faction as the Samajwadi Party and allotting 'bicycle' symbol to it will have an impact on UP Assembly polls and might force both BSP and BJP to redraw their poll strategy.

Both the parties had been banking heavily on the internal feud in the first family of the state with Mayawati projecting her party as the only force to take on the saffron brigade in the face of a weakened Samajwadi Party.

BJP on its part was seeking to capitalise by promising development and law and order.

Akhilesh-led SP is likely to seal its alliance with the Congress later this week, a deal that would pitchfork the combine as the main contender against the resurgent BJP in the coming elections in UP.

SP and Congress together will seek to offer a stronger and cleaner alternative to the Muslim electorate which will be looking for a party that could defeat BJP as the hustings.

Muslim voters, who account for nearly 20 per cent of Uttar Pradesh's population, can make or mar the electoral prospects of key political parties vying for the top slot in the high stake elections.

While divided Muslim votes translate to gains for BJP, a consolidation will change the poll arithmetic as minorities play a crucial role in at least 125 of 403 constituencies.

Muslims are known to go with a party or alliance that stands the best chance to defeat BJP and Akhilesh-led SP and Congress together could provide them this option.

This would also mean that the extent of Muslim support to BSP will not be up to its expectations to see its candidates through.

Working on this equation, Mayawati gave tickets to Muslims in as many as 97 constituencies, but her old record of allying with BJP for power in UP often returns to haunt her.
As ruling SP grappled with internal feud, BSP supremo

Mayawati sought to fish in troubled waters, seeking to drive a wedge in SP camp to wean away the crucial Muslim vote bank.

Muslims are considered the traditional votebank of the ruling Samajwadi Party and the concern over SP family feud has been voiced by several top clerics including, Syed Ahmed Bukhari, the Shahi Imam of Delhi's Jama Masjid and Maulana Salman Nadvi of Lucknow-based Darul Uloom Nadwatul Ulama.

These leaders gave a blunt message to Mulayam Singh Yadav that their votes would end up with BSP if the internecine war in his party did not end.

To project herself as the true saviour of the minorities, she has been continuously linking SP and BJP, often claiming that there was a "tacit understanding" between the two and asking voters to be wary of their "closeness".

BJP has also been quoting lack of development and misgovernance of successive governments and promising people to make Uttar Pradesh as 'Uttam Pradesh' if voted to power.

Political analysts said a section of Yadavs and Muslims might still go with party patriarch Mulayam Singh Yadav but a majority of them will move towards the Akhilesh group as they look at him as a new hope in the state.

The 43-year-old chief minister has already proved his mettle at governance in the past five years and shown that development was the buzz word for him.

They say that armed with the EC order, Akhilesh will now be better placed to steer the party to a cleaner new image which will go down well with the people especially the young electorate.

Analysts also said the EC order might be a setback to some extent to BJP and BSP, which were banking on the family feud in the SP to give them an edge.

BSP had expected Muslims to leave SP and join its core vote bank of Dalits to give it the requisite numerical advantage to bring it back to power.

But, the latest development could drive the BSP supremo to think of a fresh strategy, especially in the communally sensitive western UP - where she anticipates a keen contest with BJP - which goes to polls in the first two phases.