The intensity of summer algal blooms in large freshwater lakes worldwide has increased over the past three decades, according to a first-ever global survey of dozens of such water bodies.
Reports of harmful algal blooms are growing, according to the researchers from Carnegie Institution for Science and NASA in the US.
These aquatic phenomena are harmful either because of the intensity of their growth, or because they include populations of toxin-producing phytoplankton, they said.
However, before this study, published in the journal Nature, it was unclear whether the problem was truly getting worse on a global scale.
The degree to which human activity -- including agriculture, urban development, and climate change -- was contributing to this problem was uncertain, the researchers said.
"Toxic algal blooms affect drinking water supplies, agriculture, fishing, recreation, and tourism," said Carnegie's Jeff Ho, lead author of the study.
"Studies indicate that just in the United States, freshwater blooms result in the loss of USD four billion each year," Ho said.
Despite this, studies on freshwater algal blooms have either focused on individual lakes or specific regions, or the period examined was comparatively short.
No long-term global studies of freshwater blooms had been undertaken until now, the researchers said.
They used 30 years of data from NASA and the US Geological Survey's Landsat 5 near-Earth satellite, which monitored the planet's surface between 1984 and 2013 at 30 metre resolution, to reveal long-term trends in summer algal blooms in 71 large lakes in 33 countries on six continents.
To do so, they created a partnership with Google Earth Engine to process and analyse more than 72 billion data points.
"We found that the peak intensity of summertime algal blooms increased in more than two-thirds of lakes but decreased in a statistically significant way in only six of the lakes," Anna Michalak from Carnegie said.
"This means that algal blooms really are getting more widespread and more intense, and it's not just that we are paying more attention to them now than we were decades ago," she said.
Although the trend towards more-intense blooms was clear, the reasons for this increase seemed to vary from lake to lake, with no consistent patterns among the lakes where blooms have gotten worse when considering factors such as fertiliser use, rainfall, or temperature, researchers said.
Among the lakes that improved at any point over the 30-year period, only those that experienced the least warming were able to sustain improvements in bloom conditions, the researchers said.
This suggests that climate change is likely already hampering lake recovery in some areas, they said.
"This finding illustrates how important it is to identify the factors that make some lakes more susceptible to climate change," Michalak said.
"We need to develop water management strategies that better reflect the ways that local hydrological conditions are affected by a changing climate," said Michalak.
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