While earthquakes along tectonic plate boundaries are caused by motion between the plates, earthquakes away from fault lines are primarily driven by motion beneath the plates, researchers have found.
Just beneath the Earth's crust is a layer of hot, semi-liquid rock that is continually flowing - heating up and rising, then cooling and sinking.
That convective process, interacting with the ever-changing motion of the plates at the surface, is driving intraplate seismicity and determining in large part where those earthquakes occur.
To a lesser extent, the structure of the crust above also influences the location, according to their models.
Becker and his team used an updated mantle flow model to study the motion beneath the mountain belt that cuts north to south through the interior of the Western US.
The area is seismically active - the reason Yellowstone has geysers is that it sits atop a volcanic hotspot.
Instead, the team found that the small-scale convective currents beneath the plate correlated with seismic events above in a predictable way.
They also tried using the varying plate density or "gravitational potential energy variations" to predict seismic events and found a much poorer correlation.
"This study shows a direct link between deep convection and shallow earthquakes that we didn't anticipate, and it charts a course for improved seismic hazard mapping in plate interiors," said Tony Lowry, co-author of the paper and associate professor of geophysics and geodynamics at Utah State University.
