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Uncle Sam's dollar Ponzi scheme

US's terrible political and economic leadership will ultimately cost the dollar its value. India must act early to avoid being dragged down

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Illustration: Binay Sinha

R Jagannathan
The Narendra Modi government has set a target of making India a $5 trillion economy in the next two years and the third-largest economy before 2029. The problem is not with these aspirational goals, but with targeting them through a measurement metric that you cannot control — the dollar-rupee exchange rate.

In theory, you can hit your $5 trillion target even earlier if the rupee strengthens; you can miss the target if the reverse happens. Over the medium to long term, a dollar decline is more likely than a strengthening, thanks to two major follies embraced by
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