 "Monsoon likely to arrive over Kerala on June 1, says Earth Sciences Secy")
India’s southwest monsoon is expected to arrive over the Kerala coast on June 1, its normal onset date, secretary, ministry of earth sciences, M Rajeevan said on Thursday.
Though, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) will officially announce the 2021 monsoon onset date on May 15, Rajeevan, in a tweet on Thursday, said that early indications suggest that monsoon will arrive over Kerala on time, that is, around June 1.
A timely onset of monsoon over Kerala augurs well for its subsequent progress and movement over the mainland. This, in turn, should aid in timely plantation of kharif crops.
The IMD, last month, in its first forecast for the 2021 monsoon, said the southwest monsoon, which will start from June, is expected to be ‘normal’ at 98 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA).
IMD’s forecast is with a model error of plus and minus 5 per cent. The LPA of monsoon is 88 cm. Rainfall between 96 and 104 per cent of the LPA is considered a normal rainfall.
The Met department also said initial forecasts show that, barring eastern and northeastern parts of the country that includes states like Odisha, Bihar, Jharkhand, North-Chhattisgarh, East UP and Assam, rainfall in all other regions of the country is expected to be normal.
However, several experts say that ‘below-normal’ rains in East and North-East India is not always harmful as the quantum of rains in these parts, and also the daily average, is higher than other regions of the country.
The IMD said, cumulatively, across India, there is 61 per cent chance of monsoon this year being normal to above-normal and 39 per cent chance of being below normal.
There is a 14 per cent chance of the rains being deficient, that is, below 90 per cent of the LPA. Earlier, private weather forecasting agency Skymet, too, had predicted a normal monsoon this year.
Though, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) will officially announce the 2021 monsoon onset date on May 15, Rajeevan, in a tweet on Thursday, said that early indications suggest that monsoon will arrive over Kerala on time, that is, around June 1.
A timely onset of monsoon over Kerala augurs well for its subsequent progress and movement over the mainland. This, in turn, should aid in timely plantation of kharif crops.
The IMD, last month, in its first forecast for the 2021 monsoon, said the southwest monsoon, which will start from June, is expected to be ‘normal’ at 98 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA).
IMD’s forecast is with a model error of plus and minus 5 per cent. The LPA of monsoon is 88 cm. Rainfall between 96 and 104 per cent of the LPA is considered a normal rainfall.
The Met department also said initial forecasts show that, barring eastern and northeastern parts of the country that includes states like Odisha, Bihar, Jharkhand, North-Chhattisgarh, East UP and Assam, rainfall in all other regions of the country is expected to be normal.
However, several experts say that ‘below-normal’ rains in East and North-East India is not always harmful as the quantum of rains in these parts, and also the daily average, is higher than other regions of the country.
The IMD said, cumulatively, across India, there is 61 per cent chance of monsoon this year being normal to above-normal and 39 per cent chance of being below normal.
There is a 14 per cent chance of the rains being deficient, that is, below 90 per cent of the LPA. Earlier, private weather forecasting agency Skymet, too, had predicted a normal monsoon this year.
One subscription. Two world-class reads.
Already subscribed? Log in
Subscribe to read the full story →*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times
Smart Quarterly
₹900
3 Months
₹300/Month
SAVE 25%
Smart Essential
₹2,700
1 Year
₹225/Month
SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months
Super Saver
₹3,900
2 Years
₹162/Month
Subscribe
Renews automatically, cancel anytime
Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans
Exclusive premium stories online
Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors
Complimentary Access to The New York Times
News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic
Business Standard Epaper
Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share
Curated Newsletters
Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox
Market Analysis & Investment Insights
In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor
Archives
Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997
Ad-free Reading
Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements
Seamless Access Across All Devices
Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app
SAVE 25%