James Wong, portfolio manager of GaoTeng Global Asset Management Ltd, said that for Kaisa, a debt restructuring is "quite certain", as the threshold of passing the bond maturity extension proposal was too high.
"Investors are waiting for that day (of restructuring) to come" he said, adding smaller Chinese developers will continue to struggle.
Kaisa needs at least 95% of its bond holders to approve a proposal to exchange $400 million, 6.5% offshore bonds due Dec.
7 for new notes due June 6, 2023 at the same interest rate.
The firm, which became the first Chinese property developer to default on its dollar bonds in 2015, has said its notes exchange offer will expire 4 pm London time on Thursday unless it extends or terminates the proposal.