Despite fall, top tech firms' stocks still overvalued

The stock was still up nearly 3.8 per cent for the year at Friday's close

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Reuters New York
Last Updated : Apr 05 2014 | 11:38 PM IST
After their worst week in several years, high-flying stocks that defied gravity throughout 2013 look like they're in for more punishment. The reason: Despite the plunge, they still look overvalued.

Familiar names such as Netflix, Facebook and Tesla Motors, along with a number of biotechnology and cloud-computing stocks, have been pummeled in the last month. Some stocks are down more than 20 per cent over that period, falling into their own bear market, and yet their valuations still far exceed those of the broader US stock indexes. Wall Street defines a bear market as a drop of 20 per cent or more from a recent peak.

Facebook, for example, has fallen nearly 22 per cent from an intra-day record reached less than a month ago. The stock was still up nearly 3.8 per cent for the year at Friday's close. Among biotech names, Alexion Pharmaceuticals has declined 23 per cent from a February 25 intra-day high, and yet the stock on Friday was still up seven per cent for the year.

Facebook still traded on Friday at a price-to-sales ratio of nearly 20, making it the most expensive in the S&P 500, which has an overall price-to-sales ratio of 1.7. The other companies with expensive valuations read like a Who's Who of so-called momentum stocks, including Regeneron, Alexion, TripAdvisor and Vertex Pharmaceuticals.

"There's value somewhere, but since these things aren't being traded off typical valuations, you can't go by those metrics, and it's more about when do you find that stability," said Mike O'Rourke, chief market strategist at JonesTrading in Stamford, Connecticut.

The price-to-sales ratio is the way to value a stock by looking at its market capitalisation in comparison to its sales over a 12-month period.

The declines have come at a time when investors overall are seeing a general improvement in economic figures, including Friday's non-farm payrolls data, which showed strong job gains in March and more people moving into the labour force.

On Friday, the Nasdaq lost more than 100 points even though the S&P 500 briefly touched another intra-day record.
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First Published: Apr 05 2014 | 10:17 PM IST

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