“BPCL is an integrated refining and marketing company with an increasing focus on Petchem. Arguably India’s Oil Marketing Companies should trade at a much higher multiple (7-8x) given the secular nature of the marketing side of the business (steady growth, strong entry barriers), but worries on marketing freedom and price regulation have kept multiples in check. In our view entry of global players should reduce the risk of price control remerging in the sector,” analysts at JP Morgan said in company report dated September 13th.
"Strategic disinvestment, if through privatisation of BPCL, provides ready access to India's fast growing petroleum market to the buyer. It may also result in capital efficiency, better project execution, and efficient/independent decision making in operations and procurement... Lower government intervention and higher liquidity would also encourage better valuations for the stock," analysts at Motilal Oswal Financial Services wrote in their latest report, who value BPCL at Rs 495 using 1.9x FY21.
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