IMF slashes euro zone growth outlook on Brexit

Image
ANI New Delhi
Last Updated : Jul 09 2016 | 4:57 PM IST

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Friday announced its cut on euro zone growth outlook for the next two years over uncertainties sparked by Britain's exit from the European Union.

Stating that the conditions could worsen if confusion continues to reign in financial markets, the IMF in its annual policy review of the 19-country euro currency bloc said it expects the 2016 growth at 1.6 percent, down from the previous forecast of 1.7 percent.

In its annual policy review of the 19-country bloc, the IMF said a further global growth slowdown could derail the euro area's domestic demand-led recovery, and further Brexit spillovers, the refugee surge, increased security concerns and banking weakness all could take their toll on growth.

"If the risk aversion is prolonged, we think the growth impact could be larger and at this point, it is very difficult to tell how long that period lasts," said IMF European Department Deputy Director Mahmood Pradhan.

The IMF has not fully calculated the drag on growth that would result from a full arm's-length relationship that would revert Britain's EU status to basic World Trade Organization tariff and access rules.

Pradhan added the change will be significant for Britain as it sends some 40 percent of its exports to the EU.

As a result, the growth five years ahead is expected to be about 1.5 percent.

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Jul 09 2016 | 4:57 PM IST

Next Story