The surprise good show by HCC, however, cannot be extrapolated to other companies given that the March quarter is usually the best for the industry. Interest burden will be a key variable to watch out for as it is now the single-biggest cost head for most infrastructure companies. For example, HCC reported an 11 per cent rise in its interest burden to Rs 150 crore in the fourth quarter, a tad below its operating profit of Rs 173.8 crore, providing little financial comfort to analysts. The company said higher interest cost was due to the 50-basis point hike in base rate and higher credit limits.
Meanwhile, the stock prices of these companies have already surged in the hope of recovery. "I think most of rise in share price is more to do with sentiment. But things on the ground still have not improved and even after elections, a real change will only get reflected after six to eight months," says an analyst with a domestic broking house.
Sood agrees and says the problems in the sector will persist for at least another six months as issues such as slow award of new projects, delay in existing projects and working-capital issues will continue as clients might not release money on schedule.
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