Kawaljeet Saluja of Kotak Institutional Equities says in a note: “According to the law, for further extension, the state government was required to record expressly that it was in the interest of mineral development, which was not done. All Sesa Sterlite’s mines in Goa were operating on deemed extension. The question can be raised is whether Sesa left with legal ownership of any mine in Goa.”
Analysts estimate Sesa Sterlite to have an inventory of 3.5 million tonnes and this should fetch the company just Rs 250 crore, assuming an excavation cost of Rs 700 a tonne. These payouts along with a 10 per cent levy to be paid to the state fund on mining will have a bearing on the financials of the mining companies. On the positive side, the apex court has said it is for the state government to decide on how it intends to grant mining leases in future. However, the constitutionality or legality of the decision of the state government can be examined by the court in exercise of its power of judicial review.
Espirito Santo Securities says: “While the verdict looks positive on the face of it, we remain a bit concerned on the actual resumption timelines given it still remains subject to approvals from the Ministry of Environment and Forests.”
While the state government is expected to start allocating mining leases soon, the Street is knocking off iron ore output from Goa in FY15. Things would look up if the new government appoints a taskforce that would look into central clearances and approvals.
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