Could human civilisation collapse early?

Image
Press Trust of India Washington
Last Updated : May 19 2014 | 6:31 PM IST
Growing demands on the world's natural resources and extreme economic imbalances could spell an early end for modern human civilisation, a new study has warned.
The study partially funded by NASA and led by Dr Safa Motesharrei, from the University of Maryland, applied human factors such as wealth, economic disparities and use of natural resources to a scientific model typically used to study the interaction of animal populations.
The researchers said this model has enabled them to estimate a human society's "carrying capacity," which is a method for determining its overall destruction, 'CTV News' reported.
According to the model, sustained exploitation of natural resources can eventually lead to a catastrophic societal breakdown, study co-author Eugenia Kalnay said.
"And if inequality continues such that the rich consume far more than the poor, the system eventually collapses," Kalnay said.
However, the research authors said that their model is "not a forecasting model," and is not intended to explain any specific societies' collapse.
It can "provide a general framework that allows carrying out 'thought experiments' for the phenomenon of collapse and to test changes that would avoid it," said Motesharrei.
"It cannot be used to predict the future of any society. It can, however, help us understand the possible underlying mechanisms in the evolution of society," said Motesharrei.
The research authors said that human societies are able to reach a sustainable state when they avoid economic inequality and limit resource use.
*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: May 19 2014 | 6:31 PM IST

Next Story