According to Japanese financial services major Nomura, as the cash crunch eases from April-June quarter of this year the country's import growth is expected to rebound faster than the export growth.
The improvement in exports along with the moderation in gold imports narrowed the trade deficit to USD 10.4 billion in December from a 16-month high of USD 13 billion in November.
According to official figures gold imports during December declined by 48.49 per cent to USD 1.96 billion.
"We remain cautious on the export outlook for the next few months as the cash crunch could take a toll on exports despite improving global demand," Nomura said, adding that core import growth is also expected to remain subdued as well due to demonetisation.
It further said that "given the larger trade deficit in November, we expect the current account deficit to widen to 2.5 per cent of GDP in fourth quarter of 2016 versus a deficit of 0.6 per cent in the third quarter of 2016".
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